Please rotate your device to landscape mode for a better experience.
PACIFIC
CENTRAL
METROPOLITAN
ATLANTIC
Login

Tampa Bay Lightning
AustinBurnevik
RWAge: 21193 CM88 KGUSA USA
84PNHLe
Austin Burnevik
NHLNHL Draft2024, ANA (182nd overall)6th round, 21st pick
THLTHL Draft2024, TBL (204th overall)7th round, 12th pick

Projected potential

Bio

Big forward with projectable offensive skills, significantly held back by skating

PNHLe

Projected potential: 84 · 1st Line Potential2025-26 · NCAA · St. Cloud State Univ.

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
3.0
30% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
4.5
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

The one thing preventing Burnevik from being viewed as a legitimate NHL prospect is his skating. His offensive arsenal is more than enough, he has the size to compete, and his intelligence is good enough to remove any doubt. Burnevik’s production in the NCAA shows what he can do, even on a relatively weak St. Cloud team. He needs to spend the offseason working with a skating coach, as the potential benefits would be immense. If meaningful improvement in his skating begins to show, he moves from quickly move from a boom-or-bust longshot to a much more realistic NHL prospect.

Drafted in his second year of eligibility, this season marks Burnevik’s D+2 campaign. His offensive skill set has translated well to the collegiate level. A combination of soft hands, vision, and a strong shot has made him the leading scorer on a weak St. Cloud team. His puck skills, along with an NHL frame at 6-4, make him a likely favorite for a bottom-six role at the pro level. However, the issue that kept Burnevik from being drafted in his first year remains: his poor skating. It continues to be a significant weakness and is the root of his struggles in defensive and transition play. His NHL projection hinges entirely on how much he can improve his skating. Burnevik is unlikely to become fantasy-relevant for another two to three years, and only if he makes substantial progress with his skating.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2018-19RegularMNBEL 14UMN Kings 14U AAA1010616
2019-20RegularMNHP-14B14 - District 103426
2019-20RegularMNBEL 14UMN Penguins 15U AAA1315419
2019-20RegularUSHS-MNTotino-Grace High251413276
2019-20PlayoffsUSHS-MNTotino-Grace High21010
2020-21RegularUSHS-MNTotino-Grace High191922418
2021-22RegularMNHPB16 - Section 53011
2021-22RegularMNHPB16 - Red (Final 54)3235
2021-22RegularNTDPU.S. National U17 Team529152420
2021-22RegularUSHLUSNTDP Juniors356713-1712
2022-23RegularNTDPU.S. National U18 Team4361319210
2022-23RegularUSHLUSNTDP Juniors297512-46
2022-23RegularNTDPU.S. National U17 Team186282
2022-23PlayoffsUSHLUSNTDP Juniors3101-10
2023-24RegularUSHLMadison Capitols614031712124
2023-24PlayoffsUSHLMadison Capitols3202-60
2024-25RegularNCAASt. Cloud State Univ.35131528-158
2024-25RegularWJC-20USA U207000-12
2025-26RegularNCAASt. Cloud State Univ.36201838-56