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Tampa Bay Lightning
MelvinNovotny
LWAge: 19188 CM84 KGSWE SWE
72PNHLe
Melvin Novotny
NHLNHL Draft2025, BUF (195th overall)7th round, 3rd pick
THLTHL Draft2025, TBL (185th overall)6th round, 25th pick

Projected potential

Bio

An intense forward who can play both center and wing, with good hands, the ability to drive plays, and is not afraid to be physical. A late-round pick with intrigue who could develop into a bottom-six NHL forward.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 72 · 1st Line Potential2025-26 · USHL · Muskegon Lumberjacks

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
3.0
30% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
3.5
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Selected 195th overall, Melvin Novotny is now a member of the Buffalo Sabres. He will play in the USHL during the 2025 -26 season, before heading to the NCAA to play for the University of Massachusetts in 2026-27. His late-round pedigree, along with his USHL/NCAA development route, will not put Novotny on the fantasy radar. After his NCAA career is over, he could be a player who ends up back in Sweden to continue his professional career. Still, if he develops properly in the next two seasons, the Sabres could sign him and play him in the American Hockey League in hopes of making him into a bottom-six contributor with the Sabres in the future.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2018-19RegularWSI U12Sweden Selects U127336
2021-22RegularU16 Div.1IFK Täby HC U16211111220
2021-22RegularU16 SMIFK Täby HC U1680220
2021-22PlayoffsU16 Div.1IFK Täby HC U1651340
2022-23RegularU16 Div.1IFK Täby HC U16811132410
2022-23RegularTV-PuckenStockholm Nord867136
2022-23RegularJ18 RegionIFK Täby HC U181772027138
2022-23RegularJ18 NationellIFK Täby HC U1815121325312
2022-23RegularU16 SMIFK Täby HC U16756114
2022-23PlayoffsJ18 NationellIFK Täby HC U18421310
2022-23PlayoffsJ18 NationellIFK Täby HC U18421310
2023-24RegularJ18 RegionLeksands IF J18191121324
2023-24RegularWHC-17Sweden U1770000
2023-24RegularJ20 NationellLeksands IF J2011461010
2023-24RegularJ18 NationellLeksands IF J18128122096
2023-24PlayoffsJ18 NationellLeksands IF J185112-22
2023-24PlayoffsJ18 NationellLeksands IF J185112-22
2024-25RegularJ18 NationellLeksands IF J18101110
2024-25RegularHlinka Gretzky CupSweden U1842132
2024-25RegularJ20 NationellLeksands IF J20411226381037
2024-25RegularWJAC-19Sweden U1852358
2024-25RegularJ18 RegionLeksands IF J1843690
2024-25RegularJ18 NationellLeksands IF J18101110
2024-25RegularWJC-18Sweden U18702212
2024-25PlayoffsJ20 NationellLeksands IF J20715600
2024-25PlayoffsJ18 NationellLeksands IF J18442600
2024-25PlayoffsJ18 NationellLeksands IF J18442600
2025-26RegularUSHLMuskegon Lumberjacks482235572326
2025-26PlayoffsUSHLMuskegon Lumberjacks1651015-210