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Tampa Bay Lightning
ChristianHumphreys
CAge: 20180 CM77 KGUSA USA
65PNHLe
Christian Humphreys
NHLNHL Draft2024, COL (215th overall)7th round, 22nd pick
THLTHL Draft2024, TBL (121st overall)4th round, 25th pick

Projected potential

Bio

Intelligent distributor with excellent passing vision on the powerplay. Boom-or-bust with top-line upside.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 65 · 1st Line Potential2025-26 · OHL · Kitchener Rangers

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
5.5
55% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
8.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Humphreys has won the Memorial Cup with Kitchener, putting up three points in four games (including one empty-net goal in the final). He was a top-10 scorer in the OHL regular season and playoffs, especially lethal on the powerplay where he led the league. Still without an ELC, he has committed to the University of Minnesota for 2026-27 to give the NCAA a second try. The 7th-round-pick has turned into a legitimate prospect for Colorado with huge scoring upside, but he needs the opportunity to do it against larger opponents to prove its translatable to pro.

Humphreys did indeed return to the OHL rather than re-attempt the NCAA, and is once again thriving and sitting top-20 in league scoring. His SOG per game rate has jumped which is a treat for fantasy owners but his stat line is still assist-heavy as usual. His biggest stat jump this season has been in PIMs, but unfortunately these have been minor penalties which need to be eliminated from his game, not encouraged for “edge”. He is still being used to take faceoffs but his win percentage isn’t a particular strength, he will likely still project as a winger in pro.

Humphreys is among the first cuts from Avs training camp, reassigned to the OHL (indicating that he may be starting the year in Kitchener, not in college). He was used on the powerplay and in the top-six in Colorado’s prospect tournament where he showed flashes of strong playmaking alongside other top prospects.

After his NCAA debut went poorly (1 point in 10 games, multiple scratches), Humphreys jumped ship to Kitchener of the OHL and has looked fantastic ever since. He ended up leading the squad in points per game with 33 in 28, and although his stat line is assist-heavy, it’s not so heavy to limit his outlook at this stage of development. He produced just as well in the playoffs, played both center and wing, and doesn’t take many penalties, good indicators going forward. Unfortunately his season ended with an injury sustained from a high hit. He initially indicated that he would return to the NCAA in 2026, but that has not been updated after seeing so much OHL success so his future is uncertain. Regardless of which league he returns to, the small-ish forward will need several years to becoming a well-rounded threat and fill out.

Humphreys was selected 215th overall by the Colorado Avalanche.

Humphreys ended the season strong and was remarkable during the u18’s. It was clear to see that playing alongside trailblazers in Trevor Connelly and LJ Mooney gave Humphreys the confidence to flash his skill more often. When he wasn’t showing off Humphreys was sticking to his usual guns, intelligent distribution and well sequenced transition play with the occasional eye-popping stretch pass. While Humphreys does bring a lot of talent to the table, it’s not quite projectable to the NHL level. He plays a slow game and a not very physical one at that. If Humphreys can bring the dawg out during his time in Michigan, he has a great chance to land on an NHL team’s middle-six. David Saad



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2015-16RegularBrick InvitationalTeam Pennsylvania63142
2017-18RegularWSI U12Midwest Selects U127112
2018-19RegularWSI U13Midwest Selects U1395510
2018-19RegularQC Int PWPittsburgh Penguins Elite33250
2019-20Regular13U AAAPittsburgh Penguins Elite 13U455737946834
2020-21Regular14U AAABishop Kearney Selects 14U AAA4949771260
2020-21RegularWYC U15Midwest Prime U15847110
2021-22RegularUSA-S15Team Navy44370
2021-22Regular15U AAABishop Kearney Selects 15U AAA191915340
2021-22Regular16U AAABishop Kearney Selects 16U AAA543670106
2021-22RegularNEPACK 16UBishop Kearney Selects 16U AAA12781510
2022-23RegularNTDPU.S. National U17 Team5823204328
2022-23RegularUSHLUSNTDP Juniors39111526-116
2022-23RegularWHC-17USA U1775382
2022-23PlayoffsUSHLUSNTDP Juniors3000-40
2023-24RegularNTDPU.S. National U18 Team522335581422
2023-24RegularUSHLUSNTDP Juniors2371724-42
2023-24RegularWJC-18USA U18741522
2024-25RegularNCAAUniv. of Michigan10011-20
2024-25RegularOHLKitchener Rangers2811223388
2024-25PlayoffsOHLKitchener Rangers13371016
2025-26RegularOHLKitchener Rangers632758852233
2025-26PlayoffsOHLKitchener Rangers189132216