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Chicago Blackhawks
MalcolmSpence
LWAge: 19185 CM86 KGCAN CAN
57PNHLe
Malcolm Spence
NHLNHL Draft2025, NYR (43rd overall)2nd round, 11th pick
THLTHL Draft2025, PHI (26th overall)1st round, 26th pick

Projected potential

Bio

Strong, well-rounded forward who plays a mature, North-South game

PNHLe

Projected potential: 57 · 2nd Line Potential2025-26 · NCAA · Univ. of Michigan

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
8.0
80% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
6.5
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Spence scored 10 goals and totaled 25 points in 40 games for the University of Michigan (NCAA) as the Wolverines stormed to a Big Ten Championship and a run to the Frozen Four during the 2025-26 season. The college hockey scene should help Spence get ready for life in the pros with stiffer competition from teams building stronger rosters due to NIL funding. Spence is a prospect to keep your eye on, but he is expected back at Michigan to be an important piece of a repeat conference title bid during the 2026-27 campaign.

Spence is a competitor. Slipping out of the first round, where many scouts had him going, the Rangers were able to grab him 43rd overall in this year’s draft. I had a chance to watch him play at the World Junior Summer Showcase a few weeks ago, and there’s a lot to love about his game. He battles for pucks by throwing his weight around and getting under sticks. He has a constant motor and skates hard every shift, whether it’s transitioning for offensive plays or backchecking to his own end. His shot is heavy and, combined with his quick release, adds some scoring to his game. Spence plays hard to the net with his stick down, ready to jam in any rebounds or backdoor opportunities. He’s a force to be reckoned with and a prototypical power forward with some bite to his game. Spence is headed to the NCAA next season to play for Michigan. There’s no doubt he has translatable NHL assets and should be making his debut with the Rangers in the near future. He projects as a top-six winger, with PP2 upside.

Selected at forty-third overall, Malcolm Spence is now a member of the New York Rangers .

Spence brings a very pro-style game to the 2025 draft with his size, tenacity, and work rate. The 6’2” winger from the OHL has a solid cycle-possession game down low and can be a pain for other teams to play against. He owns a winning pedigree, having played instrumental parts in both Hlinka gold and WJC-u18 gold. Concerns of offensive upside have stagnated his climb up the rankings, so for now he slots somewhere in the mid first-round. Spence appears to be a safe bet to someday crack an NHL lineup and play a role in varying capacities.

Final Rankings – Malcolm Spence has clear tools—physicality, a strong shot, and two-way upside—but an underwhelming draft year raised concerns. Once seen as a high-motor competitor, his off-puck disengagement and lack of offensive evolution are the main worries. There’s still potential for a middle-six forward, but Spence needs to get back to what made him so highly coveted in the first place.—



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2017-18RegularWSI U12Pro Hockey Selects U128718
2018-19RegularWSI U13Pro Hockey Selects U1379615
2020-21RegularWYC U15Midwest Prime U158910192
2021-22RegularGTHL U16Mississauga Senators U16 AAA2829275614
2021-22RegularOHL CupMississauga Senators U16 AAA7671392
2021-22PlayoffsGTHL U16Mississauga Senators U16 AAA3033-50
2022-23RegularOHLErie Otters64162642-2814
2022-23RegularWHC-17Canada Black U1720110
2023-24RegularHlinka Gretzky CupCanada U1852356
2023-24RegularOHLErie Otters661943621126
2023-24RegularWJC-18Canada U187347922
2023-24PlayoffsOHLErie Otters6134-12
2024-25RegularOHLErie Otters653241731057
2024-25RegularProspects ChallengeTeam CHL212310
2024-25PlayoffsOHLErie Otters9459-66
2025-26RegularNCAAUniv. of Michigan401015251844