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New York Islanders
PatrickGeary
DAge: 22185 CM86 KGUSA USA
36PNHLe
Patrick Geary
NHLNHL Draft2024, BUF (172nd overall)6th round, 11th pick
THLTHL Draft2024, NYI (201st overall)7th round, 9th pick

Projected potential

Bio

A high character, physical, defense-minded defenseman.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 362025-26 · NCAA · Michigan State Univ.

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
4.5
45% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
3.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

The calling card of Geary’s game will not be offensive production, and his NCAA career statistics with confirm that. His sophomore season saw him put up a goal, six assists and 43 penalty minutes in 37 games.

The Buffalo Sabres drafted Geary in the sixth round (172nd overall) in the 2024 NHL Entry Draft.

For Geary to get to the NHL, he will need to continue to hone his shutdown skills and develop into a play-killing blueliner. He won’t be worth a stash at this point as he develops, and will be worth watching more closely if and when he joins the AHL ranks, if your league rewards defensive metrics.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2016-17RegularQC Int PWBuffalo Jr. Sabres22020
2018-19RegularWSI U15Draftday Selects U15 250222
2019-20RegularUSA-S15Team Red40112
2019-20Regular15U AAABuffalo Jr. Sabres 15U AAA67113849122
2020-21Regular16U AAABuffalo Jr. Sabres 16U AAA23791642
2020-21RegularNAHLNortheast Generals200000
2020-21RegularWYC U17Roc City Elite U1781898
2021-22RegularUSHLWaterloo Black Hawks5541317-994
2021-22PlayoffsUSHLWaterloo Black Hawks6011-24
2022-23RegularUSHLWaterloo Black Hawks603101314118
2022-23PlayoffsUSHLWaterloo Black Hawks3000-40
2023-24RegularNCAAMichigan State Univ.325813130
2024-25RegularNCAAMichigan State Univ.37167443
2025-26RegularNCAAMichigan State Univ.3529111570