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Detroit Red Wings
JoeConnor
LWAge: 21178 CM83 KGUSA USA
63PNHLe
Joe Connor
NHLNHL Draft2024, TBL (195th overall)7th round, 2nd pick
THLTHL Draft2024, DET (200th overall)7th round, 8th pick

Projected potential

Bio

A fast and courageous player who does not let his size hold him back. Has a good shot but needs to refine most other elements of his game.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 63 · 2nd Line Potential2025-26 · NCAA · Northeastern Univ.

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
2.0
20% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
5.5
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

The transition to the NCAA was not seamless, but Connor is adjusting. The key for him will always be offensive production. This was Connor’s D+2 season as he was picked in his second year of eligibility. There has to be a jump in responsibilities, overall skill, and production next season for Connor to remain remotely relevant as an undersized wing.

Drafted 195th in 2024 by the Tampa Bay Lightning. Overlooked his first draft-eligible year, Connor heard his name called by the Lightning this time. He is a fast, straight-line skater with a relentless motor. He hustles to every puck and every play and is not afraid to crash the net and use his body, even standing at 5-10. A sniper foremost, Connor likes to shoot the puck at the net from anywhere, anytime. He is good at taking any space the defense gives him; the issue is that he can’t create his own space. His skating is limited to north-south movements, his puck handling is subpar, and he lacks advanced playmaking tools, so he is only capable of executing easier plays. At his size, it is very rare to succeed in the NHL with a north-south playstyle. If Connor tries to make it to the NHL, he’ll have to add more deception, an ability to create space, better playmaking, and an east-west element to his game. It will be quite the uphill battle for Connor.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2014-15RegularBrick InvitationalBoston Jr. Bruins676134
2014-15PlayoffsBrick InvitationalBoston Jr. Bruins10002
2016-17RegularWSI U12East Coast Selects O U1273140
2017-18RegularWSI U13Pro Hockey Selects U136213
2017-18RegularQC Int PWMinuteman Flames31010
2018-19RegularUSHS-PrepHillside School3491625
2020-21RegularUSHS-PrepAvon Old Farms School2123
2020-21Regular15U AAANorthern Cyclones 15U AAA Prep3415
2020-21RegularWYC U16New England Crows U16910112114
2021-22RegularUSA-S16Team Royal53146
2021-22RegularUSHS-PrepAvon Old Farms School26131427
2022-23RegularUSA-S17Team Red429112
2022-23RegularHlinka Gretzky CupUSA U1842136
2022-23RegularUSHS-PrepAvon Old Farms School28212344
2022-23Regular18U AAAYale Jr. Bulldogs 18U AAA115510
2022-23RegularUSHLMuskegon Lumberjacks12156-118
2023-24RegularUSHLMuskegon Lumberjacks503129602555
2023-24RegularWJAC-19USA U19646102
2023-24PlayoffsUSHLMuskegon Lumberjacks8325-40
2024-25RegularNCAANortheastern Univ.3771017-1047
2025-26RegularNCAANortheastern Univ.36131427-320