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Toronto Maple Leafs
CarsonCarels
DAge: 18188 CM90 KGCAN CAN
124PNHLe
Carson Carels
NHLNHL Draft2026, CGY (6th overall)1st round, 6th pick
THLTHL Draft2026, TOR (6th overall)1st round, 6th pick

Projected potential

Bio

A smart, all-situations defender, brining intensity and physicality.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 124 · Superstar Potential2025-26 · WHL · Prince George Cougars

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
6.0
60% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
7.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Carels has been paired on the top defensive pair alongside Brek Liske for Team Canada at the 2026 World Junior Summer Showcase, which marks the first step towards a spot at the 51st World Junior Championship this winter. He is committed to play college hockey for the University of North Dakota next fall, and it appears he is on the doorstep of playing a big role for Team Canada on home soil.

Carels was selected sixth overall by the Flames, who were rumoured to take him leading up to the draft. He will be huge on the back end and plays on the left side, which is great for him since Parekh and Nemec have the right side locked in.

Carels is considered a consensus top-10 draft pick in the upcoming 2026 NHL Draft following after scoring 20-goals and totaling 73 points in 58 games for the Prince George Cougars (WHL) last season. The 17-year-old lefty a projects as a premier two-way defenseman with high-end speed and elite hockey sense. Carels joined Team Canada at the 2026 World Juniors Championships where he recorded one point in five games in a third-place finish.

Carels owns “a game built around heavy hits, blocked shots, physical engagement, and dependable defensive play. He pounces on loose pucks, closes gaps, and impacts games without needing to dominate the scoresheet,” per Victor Nuno’s on July 18. “Carels has the complete, translatable game that should earn him significant minutes in every situation. If everything comes together, he has the potential to become one of fantasy hockey’s premier multi-category defenders.”

The 6-foot-2 defender will look to flex his muscle on the NCAA scene before trying his hand at the 2027 World Juniors taking place in Edmonton and Red, Deer Alberta, Canada this winter.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2021-22RegularCSSHL U15Pilot Mound Academy U15 Prep262171918
2021-22PlayoffsCSSHL U15Pilot Mound Academy U15 Prep30114
2022-23RegularCSSHL U15Pilot Mound Academy U15 Prep2010223228
2022-23RegularCSSHL U17Pilot Mound Academy U17 Prep20220
2022-23PlayoffsCSSHL U15Pilot Mound Academy U15 Prep439120
2022-23PlayoffsCSSHL U17Pilot Mound Academy U17 Prep30224
2023-24RegularWHLPrince George Cougars703332
2023-24PlayoffsCSSHL U17Pilot Mound Academy U17 Prep43580
2024-25RegularWHLPrince George Cougars60629352242
2024-25PlayoffsWHLPrince George Cougars7134-16
2025-26RegularHlinka Gretzky CupCanada U18401142
2025-26RegularWHLPrince George Cougars582053732366
2025-26RegularProspects ChallengeTeam CHL302200
2025-26RegularWJC-20Canada U20501132
2025-26PlayoffsWHLPrince George Cougars101910-14