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Philadelphia Flyers
JackNesbitt
CAge: 19193 CM84 KGCAN CAN
63PNHLe
Jack Nesbitt
NHLNHL Draft2025, PHI (12th overall)1st round, 12th pick
THLTHL Draft2025, WIN (21st overall)1st round, 21st pick

Projected potential

Bio

A solid all-around two-way forward with a big frame and room to fill out.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 63 · 2nd Line Potential2025-26 · OHL · Windsor Spitfires

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
6.0
60% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
6.5
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Philadelphia traded a pair of late first round picks to move up to 12th overall to select a 6-5 center who registered 64 points in 65 games for the Windsor Spitfires in the OHL. Nesbitt is a rangy, high-IQ center which helps him on both sides of the puck. He is expected to return to Windsor for his third OHL season in 2025-26.

Selected 12th overall, Jack Nesbitt is now a member of the Philadelphia Flyers after a trade with the Pittsburgh Penguins for the 22nd overall and 31st overall in the 2025 NHL Entry Draft.

Nesbitt is a big 6-4 center with the maturity and faceoff ability to stick at center. Nesbitt has enough of a toolkit to be a reliable two-way center at the NHL. Solid playmaker with good overall skating who works hard on defense, but a lack of a standout trait makes it questionable how high his upside is. Nesbitt looks safe to play NHL games at the very least, but it may take a year or two to see if the projection can grow, as many bigger players like him can take a bit longer to hit, Nesbitt very well may be one of those guys as he gets older and stronger. Austin Kelly

Final Rankings – Jack Nesbitt has fallen under the radar while playing down the lineup on a very strong Windsor team. Despite this, Nesbitt produced near a point per game in the regular season. Defensively, he’s detail-oriented, with an active stick, good positioning, and a commitment to tracking through the middle. Offensively, he shows a feel for playmaking with good patience and vision. The fluidity in his handling ability is still an area he needs to improve. Coaches will love his compete level, opponents will dread his consistency. A complete, work-horse type forward with undeniable upside.—



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2021-22RegularALLIANCE U15Lambton Jr. Sting U15 AAA2723174014
2021-22RegularALLIANCE U16Lambton Jr. Sting U16 AAA320216
2021-22PlayoffsALLIANCE U15Sarnia-Lambton Jr. Sting U15 AAA746102
2022-23RegularALLIANCE U16Lambton Jr. Sting U16 AAA2820294942
2022-23RegularCWGTeam Ontario61014
2022-23PlayoffsALLIANCE U16Sarnia-Lambton Jr. Sting U16 AAA128132131
2023-24RegularOHLWindsor Spitfires589918-3258
2023-24RegularWHC-17Canada White U1781122
2024-25RegularOHLWindsor Spitfires652539641274
2024-25RegularWJC-18Canada U18623546
2024-25PlayoffsOHLWindsor Spitfires121910-530
2025-26RegularOHLWindsor Spitfires552533582667
2025-26PlayoffsOHLWindsor Spitfires137310517