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Tampa Bay Lightning
JaysonShaugabay
RWAge: 21175 CM78 KGUSA USA
87PNHLe
Jayson Shaugabay
NHLNHL Draft2023, TBL (115th overall)4th round, 19th pick
THLTHL Draft2023, TBL (152nd overall)5th round, 24th pick

Projected potential

Bio

Very skilled but undersized forward.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 87 · 1st Line Potential2025-26 · NCAA · Univ. of Minnesota-Duluth

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
2.5
25% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
7.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Shaugabay had a solid freshman season with Minnesota-Duluth, posting 26 points in 36 games, which is not bad at all for the undersized forward. His natural playmaking and stickhandling are still on display in the NCAA. The trend is the same: he needs to improve his skating and ability to handle physical play if he wants a real shot at the NHL. He is likely another two or three years away in the NCAA before making the jump to the pros.

Shaugabay has had no problem translating his game to the NCAA level. He has made progress in his goalscoring abilities and his playmaking is still really solid. Shaugabay will very likely continue developing in the NCAA for another two years. His early signs so far are promising even if making it all the way to the NHL still seems unlikely.

Drafted 115th overall in the fourth round in 2023 by the Tampa Bay Lightning, Shaugabay is a skilled yet undersized forward. His standout feature is his borderline elite hands and impressive playmaking skills. Shaugabay is foremost a playmaker who likes to be on the outside, looking to feed passes into the middle for dangerous shots. Agile on his feet, Shaugabay can create separation with quick moves, pivots, and fakes. He has a capable shot, yet he doesn’t use it very often; he has the accuracy to keep goalies honest. Shaugabay’s biggest weakness is his size. He can’t play physically at only 5-9, limiting his entire game. He is willing to get physical, even if the success rate could be better. The skills for a playmaking top-six wing are here, but Shaugabay has an uphill battle to make the Lightning, and he either makes it as a top-six wing or doesn’t make it at all.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2019-20RegularMNHP-14B14 - District 163213
2019-20RegularMNBEL 14UMN North Stars 15U AAA14628
2019-20RegularUSHS-MNWarroad High283042725714
2020-21RegularUMHSEHLTeam Sanford Power17410140
2020-21RegularUSHS-MNWarroad High202430542512
2020-21RegularWYC U16Blue Army U1691120
2020-21PlayoffsUMHSEHLTeam Sanford Power31230
2021-22RegularMNHPB16 - Section 83213
2021-22RegularMNHPB16 - White (Final 54)3112
2021-22RegularUSA-S16Team Navy53250
2021-22RegularUMHSEHLTeam Sanford Power17910192
2021-22RegularUSHS-MNWarroad High31275582746
2021-22RegularUSHLGreen Bay Gamblers9000-20
2021-22PlayoffsUMHSEHLTeam Sanford Power32460
2022-23RegularUSA-S17Team Columbia42130
2022-23RegularUSHLGreen Bay Gamblers2731316-26
2022-23RegularUSHS-MNWarroad High3133639612
2022-23PlayoffsUSHLGreen Bay Gamblers3000-20
2023-24RegularUSHLGreen Bay Gamblers621540551012
2023-24PlayoffsUSHLGreen Bay Gamblers842620
2024-25RegularNCAAUniv. of Minnesota-Duluth36121426-34
2025-26RegularNCAAUniv. of Minnesota-Duluth401132431118