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Dallas Stars
RileyPatterson
CAge: 20183 CM87 KGCAN CAN
70PNHLe
Riley Patterson
NHLNHL Draft2024, VAN (125th overall)4th round, 28th pick
THLTHL Draft2024, DAL (154th overall)5th round, 26th pick

Projected potential

Bio

Middle-six winger with potential for high goal-scoring totals. Great skater that creates chances. Goes to the front of the net and has a serviceable wrist shot. Provides value in leagues that use SOG.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 70 · 1st Line Potential2025-26 · OHL · Niagara IceDogs

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
5.0
50% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
6.6
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Patterson’s Barrie Colts were eliminated in the OHL’s conference championship. He finished the 2024-25 regular season with 25 goals and 59 points and was one of the team’s offensive drivers. He carried this great offensive showing into the postseason, where he registered 12 points in 16 games. Patterson signed a three-year, entry-level contract with the Canucks on September 22, 2025. Expect him to head back to the OHL, barring an impressive showing at next year’s training camp. Either way, Patterson is already proving to be a solid mid-round selection.

Patterson has been nothing short of remarkable this season. He has netted 22 goals and leads the top-seeded Colts with 50 points. When on the ice, Patterson has been a dominant force. He uses his speed effectively and controls the pace of the game. Patterson has been red-hot in recent games in late January and early February. He has a slew of multi-point games on his seven-game point streak. As the Colts’ season continues, Patterson looks to be a tremendous mid-round pick for the Canucks.

Drafted in the fourth round of the 2024 draft, Patterson is an exceptional skater who generates chances with his feet. He plays a north-south game and isn’t to hang out in front of the net. He also features a quick release that has given him some success. Patterson also has a high motor that is evident in all three zones. He has a quick stick in the defensive zone, utilizes his speed through the neutral zone, and battles in the offensive zone. Patterson has some fine-tuning to his game, but he is an intriguing prospect to look out for as the OHL season progresses.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2015-16RegularBrick InvitationalMontréal Ice Storm60004
2018-19RegularQIHL B1Kuper Academy M15 D141120
2019-20RegularSCTA U14Burlington Eagles U14 AAA3235134828
2021-22RegularGTHL U16Mississauga Senators U16 AAA281812302
2021-22RegularOHL CupMississauga Senators U16 AAA724660
2021-22PlayoffsGTHL U16Mississauga Senators U16 AAA3101-40
2022-23RegularOJHLNorth York Rangers5230437350
2022-23PlayoffsOJHLNorth York Rangers41230
2023-24RegularOHLBarrie Colts68293362710
2023-24PlayoffsOHLBarrie Colts6213-27
2024-25RegularOHLBarrie Colts64253459919
2024-25PlayoffsOHLBarrie Colts166612-28
2025-26RegularOHLNiagara IceDogs60404484-316
2025-26RegularAHLAbbotsford Canucks4112-14
2025-26PlayoffsOHLNiagara IceDogs5448-62