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St.Louis Blues
LarryKeenan
DAge: 21191 CM84 KGCAN CAN
65PNHLe
Larry Keenan
NHLNHL Draft2023, DET (117th overall)4th round, 21st pick
THLTHL Draft2023, STL (126th overall)4th round, 30th pick

Projected potential

Bio

A big, smooth-skating defenseman who has a heavy shot from the point. He has a long developmental runway in the NCAA to hopefully get in a few NHL games someday

PNHLe

Projected potential: 65 · 1st Line Potential2025-26 · NCAA · UMass

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
2.0
20% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
2.5
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Keenan played a regular role as a freshman at UMass in 2024, playing all 40 games and registering four goals and seven assists. He was not afraid to use his bomb of a shot, tallying nearly two shots per game, which is above average for a defenseman in the NCAA. The NHL is skewing bigger on defense, and Keenan is no exception at 6-4. While his plus skating and defensive potential will keep him in consideration for an NHL opportunity someday, he will have to further develop at UMass to leapfrog some of the other talented defensemen in the Detroit Red Wings pipeline.

The Detroit Red Wings drafted Keenan in the fourth round (117th overall) in the 2023 NHL Entry Draft.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2014-15RegularBrick InvitationalToronto Bulldogs60332
2014-15PlayoffsBrick InvitationalToronto Bulldogs30330
2018-19RegularETAHL U14Barrie Colts U14 AAA28110114
2018-19PlayoffsETAHL U14Barrie Colts U14 AAA102576
2019-20RegularETAHL U15York Simcoe Express U15 AAA4113152818
2019-20PlayoffsETAHL U15York Simcoe Express U15 AAA60226
2021-22Regular16U AAACulver Military Academy 16U284913
2022-23RegularUSHS-PrepCulver Military Academy Prep4911263734
2022-23RegularPHCCulver Military Academy Prep1469158
2022-23PlayoffsPHCCulver Military Academy Prep30220
2023-24RegularBCHLPenticton Vees536243022
2023-24PlayoffsBCHLPenticton Vees222796
2024-25RegularNCAAUMass4047111616
2025-26RegularNCAAUMass3681119810