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Columbus Blue Jackets
DaniilKarpovich
DAge: 21191 CM95 KGBLR BLR
11PNHLe
Daniil Karpovich
NHLNHL Draft2023, NJD (186th overall)6th round, 26th pick
THLTHL Draft2023, CLB (106th overall)4th round, 10th pick

Projected potential

Bio

Bottom-four, two-way defenseman with size, mobility, and underrated offensive tools. Strong shot and flashes of a strong first pass. Will have most of his value in category leagues that value hits and PIM.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 112025-26 · KHL · Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
4.0
40% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
5.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Daniil Karpovich split last season between the MHL, VHL, and KHL, and while the numbers were light, the development curve is tracking in the right direction. He recorded four points in 19 VHL games with Gornyak-UGMK, playing a low-event, steady defensive. His brief KHL stint with Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg featured no points over four games, but getting that look at age 20 is a positive sign for his trajectory. Karpovich does not project as a puck-moving threat or power-play option, but his size, discipline, and defensive awareness give him a shot at filling a bottom-four role down the line. There is still a long way to go, and no fantasy relevance for the foreseeable future, but for an organization looking to build depth on the back end, Karpovich is may eventually become a piece worth watching.

Karpovich has flown under the radar in terms of the Devils’ defense prospects, but there could be a legitimate NHLer here. He is sizeable, and he uses it to effectively shut down opposing offenses by proxy of his physicality and long reach. His active stick works well to dispossess attacking forwards, and he has shown occasional flashes of sending out a strong breakout pass to transitioning forwards once he does gain possession of the puck. He has solid mobility and speed for his size and has a strong shot from the point. It’s hard to gauge whether or not he will come over to North America, but if he does, he has the tools to be a bottom-four, two-way defender.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2017-18RegularWSI U14 AAABelarus Selects U1471120
2018-19RegularWSI U15Dynamo Minsk Selects U15602214
2019-20RegularBelarus VysshayaDinamo-Olimpik Minsk372462
2019-20PlayoffsBelarus VysshayaDinamo-Olimpik Minsk70004
2020-21RegularBelarus VysshayaTeam Belarus U17479172624
2020-21PlayoffsBelarus VysshayaTeam Belarus U1791012
2021-22RegularBelarus VysshayaTeam Belarus U18391615315334
2021-22RegularWJC-20 D1ABelarus U20510170
2021-22PlayoffsBelarus VysshayaTeam Belarus U182000-15
2021-22PlayoffsBelarus U18Dinamo Minsk U18630372
2022-23RegularMHLAvto Yekaterinburg47102535830
2022-23PlayoffsMHLAvto Yekaterinburg7112-929
2023-24RegularBelarusNeman Grodno4929112018
2023-24PlayoffsBelarusNeman Grodno601134
2024-25RegularKHLAvtomobilist Yekaterinburg4000-10
2024-25RegularVHLGornyak-UGMK19134612
2024-25RegularMHLAvto Yekaterinburg201100
2024-25PlayoffsVHLGornyak-UGMK500032
2024-25PlayoffsMHLAvto Yekaterinburg1000-20
2025-26RegularVHLGornyak-UGMK33000010
2025-26RegularKHLAvtomobilist Yekaterinburg18011613
2025-26PlayoffsVHLGornyak-UGMK1213452