Please rotate your device to landscape mode for a better experience.
PACIFIC
CENTRAL
METROPOLITAN
ATLANTIC
Login

Ottawa Senators
NoelPakarinen
LWAge: 18188 CM91 KGUSA USA
62PNHLe
Noel Pakarinen
NHLNHL Draft2026, VGK (207th overall)7th round, 15th pick
THLTHL Draft2026, OTT (139th overall)5th round, 11th pick

Projected potential

Bio

Heavy 6-2 forechecking winger who turns size and lateral mobility into takeaways and slot chances, with a finishing touch to go with the grind. A mid-round profile Finnish scouting rates above the English boards, projecting as a complementary middle-six scorer with peripheral value.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 62 · 2nd Line Potential2025-26 · U20-SM-Sarja · Kiekko-Espoo U20

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
5.0
50% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
4.5
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Pakarinen is the steadiest mid-round profile in a deep Finnish class, and the appeal is a forechecking game that already produces. He posted 30 points in 31 U20 SM-sarja games for Kiekko-Espoo, near a point per game, and earned a Liiga debut in December at 17, rare exposure for a draft-eligible Finn. The tools are the kind that travel. He uses his 6-2 frame and strong lateral mobility to stay square to puck carriers and force turnovers, then reads the play quickly after retrievals and turns takeaways into chances in the slot rather than cycling for its own sake. His 30 penalty minutes next to those 30 points tell the story of a player who grinds the boards and absorbs contact without crossing the line. There’s a real finishing touch underneath the work, which is why Finnish coverage and club usage rated him above the late-round slot English boards gave him. For fantasy, that points to a complementary middle-six scorer who chips in peripherals, the kind of winger whose value depends on landing in a top-nine role rather than carrying a line. He’s leaving the Finnish system for Michigan Tech, a multi-year college runway that will test the offense against older competition. If the scoring touch holds and he settles into a top-nine job, a middle-six winger near 45 points is the ceiling, which is where the upside lands.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2022-23RegularU16 SM-sarjaKiekko-Espoo U16 Ch10000
2022-23RegularWHC U15Kiekko-Espoo U15553862
2023-24RegularU16 SM-sarjaKiekko-Espoo U163826275330
2023-24RegularU18 SM-sarjaKiekko-Espoo U1810110
2023-24PlayoffsU16 SM-sarjaKiekko-Espoo U1664590
2023-24PlayoffsU18 SM-sarjaKiekko-Espoo U1810000
2024-25RegularU18 SM-sarjaKiekko-Espoo U18372232548
2024-25RegularU20 SM-sarjaKiekko-Espoo U203011-10
2024-25PlayoffsU20 SM-sarjaKiekko-Espoo U20400000
2025-26RegularU20 SM-sarjaKiekko-Espoo U20311317301830
2025-26RegularU18 SM-sarjaKiekko-Espoo U1843140
2025-26RegularLiigaKiekko-Espoo9011-40
2025-26RegularWJC-18Finland U185112-20
2025-26PlayoffsU20 SM-sarjaKiekko-Espoo U20154610531