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Detroit Red Wings
Liam DowerNilsson
CAge: 23183 CM78 KGSWE SWE
56PNHLe
Liam Dower Nilsson
NHLNHL Draft2021, DET (134th overall)5th round, 6th pick
THLTHL Draft2021, DET (134th overall)5th round, 6th pick

Projected potential

Bio

A solid two-way forward who showcases some quality skill and offensive instincts. He may not boast an incredible ceiling but he has the opportunity to be a quality middle-six producer.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 56 · 2nd Line Potential2025-26 · Allsvenskan · IF Bjorkloven

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
4.0
40% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
5.5
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

The Detroit Red Wings did not sign Dower Nilsson to an entry-level contract as of June 1, 2025. He is an unrestricted free agent. He was coming off a bit of a breakout season in Sweden’s second league Allsvenskan, posting 41 points in 52 games. It’s hard to imagine the Red Wings wouldn’t be interested, so he likely wanted to remain in Sweden. His brother, Noah, is still in Detroit’s system, making it possible (or even likely) that if he does choose to try his hand in the NHL, it will be with Detroit.

One of the more interesting and divisive prospects in the draft class, the opinions on Dower-Nilsson vary. He plays a skilled game with a good set of hands that he uses to create space and some creative passing that opens his teammates up for quality chances. He is a decent shooter in his own right as well but it is his ability to send passes to high danger and find the open man through traffic is that attracts many to his game. His defensive game has been very good at times with a good stick and tendency to pickpocket opponents with seemingly no effort, Dower-Nilsson has some very underrated aspects to his game. He isn’t a burner by any means but he is a good skater and uses his deceptive hands to create space. One of the bigger concerns in his game is that he doesn’t penetrate the home plate area enough to be a translatable scorer at the next level so there may have to be a mindset shift if he wants to remain a dual-threat attacker who can help balance out a line and provide a varied attack. His development could very well hinge on whether a team can get him to be a bit more aggressive on his feet in the offensive zone and if he can round out a physical game that shows up at times but doesn’t seem to be there consistently. With the skill and creativity he has as a passer, some team is going to have an interesting prospect on their hands after the first round.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2015-16RegularU16 Div.1Borås HC U1630110
2015-16RegularU16 Div.2Borås HC U16 2767132
2016-17RegularU16 Div.1Borås HC U161720143416
2016-17RegularJ18 Div.2Borås HC J18 222242
2016-17PlayoffsU16 Div.1Borås HC U1643360
2017-18RegularU16 ElitFrölunda HC U162019173618
2017-18RegularJ18 Div.1Frölunda HC J18 2949136
2017-18RegularTV-PuckenVästergötland115498
2017-18RegularU16 SMFrölunda HC U1685384
2018-19RegularU16 ElitFrölunda HC U161211213234
2018-19RegularJ18 ElitFrölunda HC J18772992
2018-19RegularTV-PuckenGöteborg51782
2018-19RegularJ18 AllsvenskanFrölunda HC J18924616
2018-19RegularU16 SMFrölunda HC U16612112310
2019-20RegularJ18 ElitFrölunda HC J18151222341514
2019-20RegularWHC-17Sweden U1751122
2019-20RegularJ20 SuperElitFrölunda HC J205101-32
2019-20RegularJ18 AllsvenskanFrölunda HC J18300004
2019-20PlayoffsJ18 AllsvenskanFrölunda HC J18111230
2020-21RegularJ20 NationellFrölunda HC J201651217-110
2020-21RegularJ18 RegionFrölunda HC J182404-22
2020-21RegularSHLFrölunda HC5000025
2020-21RegularHockeyEttanHanhals IF14681400
2020-21RegularWJC-18Sweden U187134231
2020-21PlayoffsSHLFrölunda HC100000
2021-22RegularJ20 NationellFrölunda HC J20341931501972
2021-22RegularSHLFrölunda HC1000002
2021-22PlayoffsJ20 NationellFrölunda HC J20310144
2022-23RegularSHLFrölunda HC22145-10
2022-23RegularChampions HLFrölunda HC813434
2022-23RegularHockeyAllsvenskanVästerås IK3231215-810
2022-23PlayoffsHockeyAllsvenskanVästerås IK732500
2023-24RegularHockeyAllsvenskanIF Björklöven52121527410
2023-24PlayoffsHockeyAllsvenskanIF Björklöven414510
2024-25RegularHockeyAllsvenskanIF Björklöven522021412426
2024-25PlayoffsHockeyAllsvenskanIF Björklöven5011-32
2025-26RegularHockeyAllsvenskanIF Björklöven512136571722
2025-26PlayoffsHockeyAllsvenskanIF Björklöven1225704