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Calgary Flames
FrancescoDell'Elce
DAge: 21185 CM82 KGCAN CAN
74PNHLe
Francesco Dell'Elce
NHLNHL Draft2025, COL (77th overall)3rd round, 13th pick
THLTHL Draft2025, CAL (106th overall)4th round, 10th pick

Projected potential

Bio

Blueliner with success putting up points quickly when joining new teams and leagues.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 74 · 1st Line Potential2025-26 · NCAA · UMass

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
5.0
50% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
6.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Dell’Elce is once again UMass’s top scoring defenceman with 13 points in 18 games so far. He is shooting with nearly the volume and percentage of a forward, and his three goals are all game-winners. He was recently profiled by The Athletic as a “stock-rising” prospect which is certainly true, but this won’t necessarily speed up the clock on his fantasy countdown. He won’t be jumping straight to the NHL and the AHL Eagles don’t often ice more than one “offense-focused” blueliner at a time (and there are a few players with a scoring skillset there already). Even if his production pops, it would not be a surprise for the Avs to keep Dell’Elce simmering in the NCAA.

Colorado have selected Dell’Elce in the 3rd round of the 2025 draft with the 77th pick. This is roughly where the over-ager was expected to go in the draft, perhaps slightly earlier than expected. As a college freshman in 2024-25 he was named to the Hockey East All-Rookie Team after leading his UMass’s defence corps in points with 24 in 40 games. The left-handed defender can do a little bit of everything, and has been praised for his poise under pressure. He is eligible to turn pro right away and the AHL blueline is thin on young talent, however the team already boasts one of the top offensive producers in the league on the back end so the newbie will have to earn his ice time in other ways too in order to stick around.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2019-20RegularGTHL U15Toronto Marlboros U15 AAA3316710
2021-22RegularCAHSSt. Andrew's College4410223224
2021-22RegularPHCSt. Andrew's College114598
2021-22PlayoffsPHCSt. Andrew's College30004
2022-23RegularCAHSSt. Andrew's College5120426248
2022-23RegularPHCSt. Andrew's College14614204
2022-23PlayoffsPHCSt. Andrew's College32352
2023-24RegularBCHLPenticton Vees549293826
2023-24PlayoffsBCHLPenticton Vees222686
2024-25RegularNCAAUMass40717241812
2025-26RegularNCAAUMass36516211018