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New York Rangers
TylerHopkins
CAge: 19185 CM81 KGCAN CAN
54PNHLe
Tyler Hopkins
NHLNHL Draft2025, TOR (86th overall)3rd round, 22nd pick
THLTHL Draft2025, NYR (97th overall)4th round, 1st pick

Projected potential

Bio

High-pace, straight-lines centre with a big shot.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 54 · 2nd Line Potential2025-26 · OHL · Kingston Frontenacs Guelph Storm

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
5.0
50% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
6.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Hopkins finds himself on the incline after logging a 51-point campaign with the Kingston Frontenacs last season. The Maple Leafs continued the trend of selecting hulking centres by drafting Hopkins. His style is very straight forward without any complexities. He lacks the offensive upside to make an impact in a middle-six, so his likeliest outcome is to end up in an NHL bottom-six with potential to become a low-impact low-event type of player.

Selected 86th overall, Tyler Hopkins is now a member of the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Hopkins is a straightforward player, though one who comes with plenty of tools. He finished the season with 20 goals (though none in 11 playoff games), largely off the strength of his shot and his open-ice abilities off the rush. He’s very fast, with a powerful, churning stride, making him effective as both a carrier and weak-side option, though his off-puck reads are hit-or-miss. His speed—in addition to his low skating base—also makes him both difficult to seperate from the puck and hard to play against in the corners.

Despite the tools, Hopkins likely doesn’t have enough creativity, deception or high-level processing to be much more than a straight-lines forward, even if it is as an effective one.—



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2021-22RegularSCTA U15Halton Hurricanes U15 AAA3031245520
2021-22RegularWSI U15Draftday Selects U1598210
2022-23RegularSCTA U16Halton Hurricanes U16 AAA3137326924
2022-23RegularCWGTeam Ontario61566
2022-23RegularOHL CupHalton Hurricanes U16 AAA4325-14
2022-23PlayoffsSCTA U16Halton Hurricanes U16 AAA558136
2022-23PlayoffsGOJHLHamilton Kilty B's53140
2023-24RegularOHLKingston Frontenacs596713-2017
2023-24RegularWHC-17Canada White U1780556
2023-24PlayoffsOHLKingston Frontenacs5044-30
2024-25RegularHlinka Gretzky CupCanada U1850112
2024-25RegularOHLKingston Frontenacs67203151-118
2024-25RegularWJC-18Canada U18601144
2024-25PlayoffsOHLKingston Frontenacs11055010
2025-26RegularOHLKingston Frontenacs29121325016
2025-26PlayoffsOHLGuelph Storm4202-12