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Columbus Blue Jackets
MacSwanson
CAge: 20173 CM76 KGDEU DEU
63PNHLe
Mac Swanson
NHLNHL Draft2024, PIT (207th overall)7th round, 14th pick
THLTHL Draft2024, CLB (100th overall)4th round, 4th pick

Projected potential

Bio

Undersized, intelligent playmaker who has some hurdles to climb. Needs to improve his foot speed to have a shot at the NHL. Boom-or-bust long-term project with second-line upside.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 63 · 2nd Line Potential2025-26 · NCAA · Univ. of North Dakota

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
3.5
35% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
5.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

With height working against him at 5-7, Swanson’s transition to the NCAA was somewhat disappointing given the production he had in 2023-24 with the Fargo Force of the USHL. Playing in the full NCAA season with North Dakota, Swanson put up 18 points, and only two of those points were goals. He is a natural playmaker, so it is natural to see him register more assists on the scoresheet than goals; however, two goals in 38 games is likely not what the Penguins brass expected for him in the NCAA. Look for Swanson to shoot more in 2025-26 and spend another couple of seasons in the NCAA. If Swanson is not a point-per-game player at the NCAA by the end of 2026-27, it will be tough for him to progress to the NHL, considering his size.

Swanson was selected 207th overall by the Pittsburgh Penguins.

June 2024 At this point in the draft, why not take a swing on a long-term project? Swanson’s slight frame is a definite concern, and his skating lacks pop, but he is a top-10 distributor in this draft with the tools to turn into a pure creator if his foot speed improves. Small players who can’t separate in transition rarely work out, but Swanson’s work ethic and high-end IQ could be the difference-makers that make him develop what he needs to develop and be the exception to the rule. Boom-or-bust with second-line upside. Hadi Kalakeche



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2019-20Regular14U AAAlaska Oilers 14U AA121415294
2019-20Playoffs14U AAAlaska Oilers 14U AA5411150
2020-21Regular14U AAATeam Alaska 14U AAA322942712
2021-22RegularUSA-S15Team Columbia40220
2021-22Regular15U AAATeam Alaska 15U AAA4227527912
2022-23RegularUSA-S16Team White53030
2022-23RegularUSHLFargo Force571243552716
2022-23RegularWJAC-19USA U1961452
2022-23PlayoffsUSHLFargo Force9371012
2023-24RegularUSA-S17Pacific District63360
2023-24RegularHlinka Gretzky CupUSA U1841342
2023-24RegularUSHLFargo Force55265177396
2023-24RegularWJAC-19USA U19629110
2023-24PlayoffsUSHLFargo Force125121770
2024-25RegularNCAAUniv. of North Dakota382161802
2025-26RegularNCAAUniv. of North Dakota4011172874