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New York Rangers
CarterBear
LWAge: 19183 CM84 KGCAN CAN
79PNHLe
Carter Bear
NHLNHL Draft2025, DET (13th overall)1st round, 13th pick
THLTHL Draft2025, NYR (10th overall)1st round, 10th pick

Projected potential

Bio

Relentless puck hound and quick-twitch play creator

PNHLe

Projected potential: 79 · 1st Line Potential2025-26 · WHL · Everett Silvertips

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
8.5
85% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
8.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Bear has returned to the Everett Silvertips for his third full season, and has started the year with a point per game pace- four goals and eight assists in 12 games- while adding 18 penalty minutes.

The biggest concern heading into the draft for Bear was the injury he suffered this year in early March where he partially tore his achilles from a skate laceration. Despite that, he resumed skating ahead of schedule which quickly silenced any doubts surrounding his health on draft day. Since then, he’s signed his entry level contract with the Wings but is expected to return to the WHL for his D+1 season.

Carter Bear has put pen to paper on his ELC, a three-year deal with an AAV of $975,000. He will take another turn in the WHL in 2025-2026.

Selected 13th overall, Carter Bear is now a member of the Detroit Red Wings.

It is impossible to envision a situation where Carter Bear is not a middle-six forward with a long NHL career. He’s one of the most dominant and intense checking forwards in the CHL: if there’s a battle he’ll win it. Especially considering he’s near the tops of the CHL in scoring, more and more people are starting to get on board with Bear’s offensive game as well. He’s inside driven, creates shots from in-tight, and can handle or make plays with pace. Carter Bear has one of (if not the) highest floors in the draft, and there’s reason to believe that his scoring could translate to a top-six role. Luke Sweeney

Bear is returning to action after healing from a partially torn Achillies tendon, and may take some time to get fully up to speed, which could help explain the seemingly slower pace than he was on prior to the injury last season.

Bear remains a solid fantasy asset given his offensive prowess and physicality. Don’t fret the slow start, and keep tabs on the managers in your leagues if you sense them getting impatient. Bear will likely get back ahead of his point per game pace, as implied by his two multi-point games in the last four as at writing.

Finishing with 82 points (40 goals, 42 assists) in 56 games, Bear exploded offensively last season for the Everett Silvertips. There’s a lot to like about his game but his compete level is what stands out the most. In his own end, he’s positionally sound and rarely gets caught out of coverage. He transitions up the ice with speed and intent to create scoring chances off the rush. He has great vision to find teammates and has a knack to score goals around the net. Bear dominates in all three zones and there is a reason why he led his team in every offensive category. He is impressive along the boards, winning the majority of his battles. Bear gets involved physically using his body during puck pursuit and uses his motor to overwhelm opponents. Trusted in all situations, Bear has top-six forward written all over him. I have no doubt he’ll have a long NHL career.

Final Rankings – If it weren’t for the injury, Bear could very well have ended up much higher than this: he has the intangible tools that every NHL team covets. He’s a relentless hard-worker, a constant pace-pusher, and plays a detailed game. He’s shown he can play an intentional, straight-lines checking game in addition to a more skilled, dynamic one. He’s played centre or the wing, either complementarily or as the main driver. He was one of the WHL’s highest scorers on one of its best teams—even if that was hampered later in the season by Everett’s injury issues and, therefore, greater defensive responsibility for Bear. In a draft whose top-end talent falls off abruptly, Bear offers a surefire top-six bet, so long as his recovery goes according to plan.—



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2017-18RegularWSI U12Midwest Selects U127404
2018-19RegularWSI U13Midwest Selects U139437
2019-20RegularWAAA U14Winnipeg Hawks U14 AAA3039185732
2019-20PlayoffsWAAA U14Winnipeg Hawks U14 AAA55388
2020-21RegularWAAA U15Winnipeg Hawks U15 AAA45384
2021-22RegularMU18HLWinnipeg Thrashers U18 AAA3925174234
2021-22RegularWHL CupTeam Manitoba50112
2021-22PlayoffsMU18HLWinnipeg Thrashers U18 AAA31122
2022-23RegularMU18HLWinnipeg Thrashers U18 AAA3132275924
2022-23RegularWHLEverett Silvertips19112-30
2022-23PlayoffsMU18HLWinnipeg Thrashers U18 AAA31124
2022-23PlayoffsWHLEverett Silvertips5000-14
2023-24RegularWHLEverett Silvertips672532572326
2023-24PlayoffsWHLEverett Silvertips9044-66
2024-25RegularWHLEverett Silvertips564042823377
2024-25RegularProspects ChallengeTeam CHL100002
2025-26RegularWHLEverett Silvertips533641774556
2025-26RegularWJC-20Canada U20200000
2025-26PlayoffsWHLEverett Silvertips18715222224