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Minnesota Wild
MatthewGard
CAge: 19196 CM87 KGCAN CAN
38PNHLe
Matthew Gard
NHLNHL Draft2025, PHI (57th overall)2nd round, 25th pick
THLTHL Draft2025, MIN (74th overall)3rd round, 10th pick

Projected potential

Bio

A lanky centre with good hands and playmaking in open space. Drives the net, finishes his checks, and projects as a strong bottom-six piece.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 382025-26 · WHL · Red Deer Rebels Seattle Thunderbirds

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
5.0
50% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
6.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

A 6-5 center from Red Deer (WHL), Gard doubled his total from 18-points in 2023-24 to 36-points (including 19 goals) in the 2024-25 season. He tallied four points in seven games in Canada’s gold medal-winning effort at the 2024-25 IIHF U18 World Championships. Gard is expected to return to Red Deer for a third WHL season, where he will rejoin Flyers fifth-round pick, Luke Vlooswyk.

Selected 57th overall, Matthew Gard is now a member of the Philadelphia Flyers.

Gard plays a net-driven game, finishes his checks, makes plays along the wall, and has strong hands in tight, making his profile appealing to many NHL teams. However, given his low scoring output and a straight-line style that relies on linemates to drive play, Gard’s role is more complementary. While he projects as a bottom-six forward, his skill and playmaking—particularly for his size—could give him more room to develop beyond that. –

Final Rankings – An intelligent center who did a lot of heavy lifting on the third-worst offence in the CHL. Both a physically engaged forechecker and a big forward with skill, Gard has plenty of upside.—



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2018-19RegularWSI U12Western Canada Selects U128000
2020-21RegularWAAA U14Winnipeg Hawks U14 AAA41346
2021-22RegularCSSHL U15RINK HA Winnipeg U15 Prep2710324263
2021-22RegularCSSHL U16RINK HA Winnipeg U16 Prep10000
2021-22PlayoffsCSSHL U15RINK HA Winnipeg U15 Prep31340
2022-23RegularCSSHL U18RINK HA Winnipeg U18 Prep199101930
2022-23RegularCWGTeam Manitoba51010
2022-23PlayoffsCSSHL U18RINK HA Winnipeg U18 Prep31012
2023-24RegularWHLRed Deer Rebels5571118732
2023-24PlayoffsWHLRed Deer Rebels7011-24
2024-25RegularWHLRed Deer Rebels66191736-481
2024-25RegularWJC-18Canada U18713444
2025-26RegularWHLRed Deer Rebels236410-244
2025-26PlayoffsWHLSeattle Thunderbirds513428