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Washington Capitals
AlexCiernik
LWAge: 21180 CM80 KGDEU DEU
21PNHLe
Alex Ciernik
NHLNHL Draft2023, PHI (120th overall)4th round, 24th pick
THLTHL Draft2023, WAS (66th overall)3rd round, 2nd pick

Projected potential

Bio

Undersized winger with great speed and overall mobility who can create offense off the rush. Will need to add strength and diversify his attack but could grow into a playmaking winger capable of handling middle-six minutes in the NHL.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 212025-26 · Liiga Allsvenskan · Pelicans Nybro Vikings IF

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
5.0
50% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
6.5
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Ciernik signed a three-year entry-level contract with the Philadelphia Flyers in March 2026. His deal carries an average annual value (AAV) of $1.00M and runs through the 2028-29 season. The 21-year-old forward scored three points in 19 games for the Lahti Pelicans (LIIGA) and five points in 21 games for the Nybro Vikings IF (HockeyAllsvenskan). He is expected to land with the Lehigh Valley Phantoms (AHL) for the 2026-27 season.

The 2024-25 season did prove to be a breakout year for Ciernik in HockeyAllsvenskan, registering 23 points in 46 games. This was almost the same point production as the year prior, where he produced 14 points in 26 games in the same league. Although he got three games at the AHL level in 2024-25 with the Lehigh Valley Phantoms, Ciernik has signed with the Pelicans in Liiga, Finland’s top league. You can certainly say it is an upgrade from HockeyAllsvenskan, Sweden’s second league; however, dynasty fantasy managers should be the only ones keeping an eye on Ciernik to improve his point production, as he has a long road to the NHL if he ever makes it.

Ciernik has made Slovakia’s 2024 World Junior Classic roster. At 19 years old this will be the first and last opportunity for Ciernik to shine on the world stage. The smooth skating winger is having a solid season with his club Vasterviks IK in Sweden, tallying four goals and eight assists in 19 games.

Arguably the biggest steal of the 2023 NHL Draft, Ciernik has opened the season in Sweden with Vasterviks IK and already has six points in just eight games. He has explosive speed and likes to show it off in transition, often catching opposing defenders off guard. The 19-year-old is already half way to last season’s point total and has already matched last seasons goal output with three. This could be a breakout season for the Flyers 4th round pick.

Ciernik was selected 120th overall by the Flyers.

Ciernik spent most of last season playing for Södertälje’s J20 team, notching an impressive 47 points in 43 games to lead all 2023 draft eligibles playing in the J20 Nationell. He also played 11 games in the Allsvenskan but was held off the scoresheet in his first real taste of pro hockey. He represented his country at the 2021 Hlinka Gretzky Cup as a late ’04 birth date, notching an impressive seven points in five games.

Ciernik is a very shifty winger with excellent skating ability who can keep defenders on their heels with his speed. While he’s not the most offensively gifted player in the class, he can beat defenders and make plays happen at high speeds – a skill that should help him translate his game to the next level. He possesses great vision and playmaking ability but is still a little too rush-focused and could better utilize his skillset to create off of extended possessions. Ciernik is undersized at just 5-10, but he plays bigger and doesn’t shy away from contact. I’m still not 100% sold on Ciernik’s high-end offensive skill, but I hope he proves me wrong and displays great offensive production throughout the season.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2016-17RegularQC Int PWCzech Knights20000
2018-19RegularU16 Div.1Flemingsbergs IK U16208122010
2019-20RegularU16 Div.1Flemingsbergs IK U162030265641
2019-20RegularJ18 Div.1Flemingsbergs IK J183333225536
2019-20RegularDivision 2Flemingsbergs IK11120
2019-20RegularU16 SMFlemingsbergs IK U1632242
2019-20PlayoffsJ18 Div.1Flemingsbergs IK J1821010
2020-21RegularJ18 RegionSödertälje SK U18303300
2020-21RegularJ20 NationellSödertälje SK U201025724
2020-21RegularHockeyAllsvenskanSödertälje SK100000
2021-22RegularJ20 NationellSödertälje SK U2043202747-130
2021-22RegularHlinka Gretzky CupSlovakia U18516740
2021-22RegularHockeyAllsvenskanSödertälje SK11000-20
2021-22RegularWJC-18 D1ASlovakia U185571264
2021-22PlayoffsJ20 NationellSödertälje SK U203101-32
2021-22PlayoffsJ20 NationellSödertälje SK J203101-32
2022-23RegularHockeyAllsvenskanSödertälje SK1515632
2022-23RegularJ20 NationellSödertälje SK U20189122122
2022-23RegularWJC-20Slovakia U20521314
2022-23RegularHockeyAllsvenskanVästerviks IK10246-30
2022-23PlayoffsHockeyAllsvenskanSödertälje SK300000
2022-23PlayoffsJ20 NationellSödertälje SK J205246225
2022-23PlayoffsJ20 NationellSödertälje SK U205246225
2023-24RegularHockeyAllsvenskanVästerviks IK2641014-16
2023-24RegularWJC-20Slovakia U203011-10
2023-24PlayoffsHockeyAllsvenskanVästerviks IK6033-10
2024-25RegularHockeyAllsvenskanNybro Vikings IF4611122380
2024-25RegularAHLLehigh Valley Phantoms301120
2024-25PlayoffsHockeyAllsvenskanNybro Vikings IF2101-10
2025-26RegularLiigaPelicans19123-44
2025-26RegularHockeyAllsvenskanNybro Vikings IF21235-76