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New York Rangers
CameronSchmidt
RWAge: 19170 CM70 KGCAN CAN
78PNHLe
Cameron Schmidt
NHLNHL Draft2025, DAL (94th overall)3rd round, 30th pick
THLTHL Draft2025, NYR (38th overall)2nd round, 6th pick

Projected potential

Bio

Small, explosive right wing with elite straight line speed and a heavy release who drives offense off the rush and has legitimate top-six scoring upside if his game rounds out.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 78 · 1st Line Potential2025-26 · WHL · Vancouver Giants Seattle Thunderbirds

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
6.0
60% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
8.8
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Development camp gave a live look at both halves of the Schmidt profile after his 51-goal, 100-point WHL season split between Vancouver and Seattle. The skill was obvious from Day 1, when he toe-dragged through two defenders while cutting wide across the front of the net, and his quick hands and feet made him one of the two most dynamic forwards in the building alongside Dylan Hryckowian. The counterpunch arrived just as fast. On the very next rep he was bodied off the puck, and by Day 3 the book on him had tightened across the group: push him to the outside, lean on him, and deny the space his speed needs. He started on the top line in the mini game and kept creating, but the lesson of the week is that he will always have to be faster and smarter than the guy across from him, and the strength curve is now the swing variable in his projection, not the toolkit. His shot and skating remain the best in the Dallas pipeline. The item to track this summer is his contract, with a June 1, 2027 sign-by date, and where his development year lands in the new CHL and NCAA environment.

Schmidt’s post-draft season has been dominant. He was tracking at roughly 1.5 points per game with the Vancouver Giants before Seattle acquired him at the WHL trade deadline on January 5 for a massive return: Kaleb Hartmann, two first-round picks, a conditional second, a conditional fourth, and a fifth. That price tag tells you how the CHL views his production. He barely blinked after changing teams. A 21-game point streak with the Thunderbirds (16 goals, 20 assists) pushed him to the top of the WHL scoring race, and he hit both his 100th WHL goal and 200th career WHL point in back-to-back games during his first week in Seattle. He closed the regular season by reaching the 50-goal and 100-point marks in the final week, including a hat trick (his third of the season) in an overtime win over Portland. He was named WHL Player of the Week after going 6-0-6 with a plus-5 in three games to clinch a playoff berth for the Thunderbirds. The tools are the same ones that made him a first-round talent who slid to the third round: elite acceleration, a quick, deceptive release from either flank, and the ability to fire between strides off the rush. What has grown this season is the playmaking. His assist rate has climbed meaningfully, reflecting more cross-slot feeds, give-and-go plays, and offensive zone creativity instead of just pure rush goals. The size (5-8, 158 pounds) and off-puck detail questions from his draft year have not disappeared, but 50 goals in a WHL season is production that very few players of any size reach. Dallas’s director of player development, Rich Peverley, compared him to Logan Stankoven during development camp, and the scoring profile supports that ceiling. One more WHL season with Seattle in 2026-27 is likely before a move to Cedar Park. For fantasy, this is a player with realistic top-six scoring upside if the translation holds. —

Schmidt has come back to the Vancouver Giants and pushed his stock even higher. Through 20-plus games, he is tracking at roughly a point and a half per night, with 15 goals and 19 assists for 34 points, leading the Giants in both goals and total scoring while also sitting near the top of their power play goal and assist charts. He already has multiple statement nights, including a four-point game with two goals and two assists in a 7-4 loss to Edmonton and a late breakaway winner against Prince George that was featured as a highlight clip by both the Giants and WHL channels. Compared to last season, his assist rate has climbed, which reflects more give-and-go plays and cross-slot feeds rather than just attacking wide off the rush. The size concerns and off-puck detail questions from his draft year have not disappeared, but this start reinforces that his speed and shot are still driving top-of-the-lineup junior results and keeping a real top-six NHL scoring outcome on the table if the rest of his game matures.

Public perception and professional pundits projected Schmidt squarely in the first round. He was ranked 30th by Dobber Prospects, 22nd by Elite Prospects, and 19th by TSN.

Selected 94th overall, Cameron Schmidt is now a member of the Dallas Stars.

Cameron Schmidt has pretty much everything you’d want out of a smaller player. He’s got blazing speed, lightning-quick acceleration, and tight edges, making Schmidt already one of the best skaters in the CHL. Schmidt’s early’ offensive dominance has been thanks in large part to that skating. Either receiving a stretch pass or leading the rush himself, Schmidt’s able to create a lot of clean looks for himself in the WHL. His shot is also undeniably dangerous. He’s got a quick snapper with a deceptive release that he loves to flash in transition. Schmidt’s wrister and one-timer are both powerful—potential NHL-level—weapons, making him a threat from either flank. With his hands and vision, Schmidt also has legitimate playmaking skill. He stretches the ice, pushes the pace and plays with a chip on his shoulder. What’s not to like?

NHL managers leaned heavily into size at the 2025 draft. The Stars recouped a lot of value when they landed the quick-shooting, deceptive winger — standing 5-8 — late in the third round. The speedy forward is known to take any puck in stride and turn it into a lethal chance, whether by way of his quick, accurate shot or his offensive awareness. He’s deceptively fast; his agility makes him elusive and gives him an edge in finding open ice.

Jim Nill is attempting to mine elite offensive upside far later than it should be available – the same kind of upside they have found in past picks like Stankoven and Johnston. Schmidt immediately adds juice to the forward core in Dallas, and if developed properly, he has the upside to be a top-six contributor.

Final Rankings – Schmidt is almost certainly the most purely skilled player available in this range, a statement that would still be true almost anywhere in the first round. Despite his high-end skating, shooting and handling, Schmidt is small and struggles to play off teammates or drive the middle of the ice.—

Admittedly, Schmidt’s approach hasn’t translated as well to stages where he’s playing a smaller, often secondary role. Against steeper competition and playing with more talented peers, Schmidt hasn’t had as much space to work with, as many lapses to capitalize on, and, maybe most importantly, as many puck touches. That certainly poses a problem, not just at the NHL, but at any pro level. Going purely off tools, there’s a strong argument for taking Schmidt over all but a few players. The only worry is about his fit in an NHL top six.-



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2018-19RegularWSI U12Western Canada Selects U128112
2019-20RegularBCEHL U15Cariboo Cougars U15 AAA66390
2021-22RegularCSSHL U15RINK HA Kelowna U15 Prep1325164138
2021-22RegularCSSHL U16RINK HA Kelowna U16 Prep12020
2021-22RegularCSSHL U18RINK HA Kelowna U18 Prep320212
2021-22RegularU15 AAARINK HA Kelowna U15 Prep32583492
2021-22PlayoffsCSSHL U15RINK HA Kelowna U15 Prep5651114
2022-23RegularCSSHL U18RINK HA Kelowna U18 Prep141382126
2022-23RegularCircle K ClassicRINK HA Kelowna U18 Prep44154
2022-23RegularWHLVancouver Giants310122
2022-23RegularCWGTeam British Columbia63584
2022-23RegularU18 AAARINK HA Kelowna U18 Prep33251338
2022-23PlayoffsCSSHL U18RINK HA Kelowna U18 Prep55164
2023-24RegularWHLVancouver Giants59312758525
2023-24RegularWHC-17Canada White U1785056
2023-24PlayoffsWHLVancouver Giants5202-42
2024-25RegularHlinka Gretzky CupCanada U1853146
2024-25RegularWHLVancouver Giants61403878-744
2024-25RegularProspects ChallengeTeam CHL211214
2024-25RegularWJC-18Canada U18722408
2024-25PlayoffsWHLVancouver Giants5459-24
2025-26RegularWHLVancouver Giants39273360-1140
2025-26PlayoffsWHLSeattle Thunderbirds5314-12