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Toronto Maple Leafs
EricNilson
CAge: 19183 CM75 KGCAN CAN
32PNHLe
Eric Nilson
NHLNHL Draft2025, ANA (45th overall)2nd round, 13th pick
THLTHL Draft2025, TOR (37th overall)2nd round, 5th pick

Projected potential

Bio

Nilson is a high-pace, high-intensity forward with plenty of potential.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 322025-26 · NCAA · Michigan State Univ.

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
5.5
55% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
7.5
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Just looking at the scoresheet, Nilson has not been much more than average; however, playing on a powerhouse NCAA team has perks and drawbacks. In this case, for Nilson, it means limited ice time. It was an intentional choice by the Swedish forward to join this NCAA program, as it gives him even more time to focus on his primary need: bulking up. His detailed two-way game remains, and he is often tasked with defensive zone starts for Michigan State. He has been selected to play for Sweden at the upcoming 2026 World Juniors, and it is his chance to showcase his skills on international ice. He is a long-term project, likely going to spend three or four years in the NCAA. The Ducks have a track record of selecting long-term projects and leaving them in the NCAA for many years, and when they make the jump to the NHL, they can help the team immediately. Will Nilson be the next one?

Nilson’s standout skill is his fluid, quick skating that matches well with his strong motor and good defensive awareness. He excels in supporting his defensemen down low and backchecking. Nilson drives play in transition, using quick moves and deceptions to gain the zone and initiate cycles. His ultimate offensive upside remains hard to project. He produced well in the J20, but was on a super stacked Djurgårdens team, and he often settled for perimeter plays. At the U18s, he showed more willingness to attack the middle, along with his good shot and constant playmaking threat, he could transform into a dangerous top-six player. Size, but especially strength, will be key for his long-term projection. At 6-0, 161lbs, Nilson has bulk more to handle NHL physicality. Smaller players with a profile like Nilson’s have statistically struggled to make it to the NHL, but his elite defensive instincts, skating, motor, and transition skills give him a legitimate shot at creating a path to a well-rounded middle-six player. He’s going to be a long-term project.

Selected at forty-fifth overall, Eric Nilson is now a member of the Anaheim Ducks .

He’s a highly intelligent player who logged major minutes at even strength while being a fixture on the top power-play unit and a trustworthy penalty killer. Nilson plays well off his teammates and complements more talented players nicely. Although not much of a goal scorer, he wins puck battles and is a competent playmaker at the junior level. Nilson doesn’t have many glaring weaknesses, but he also lacks high-end traits. –

Final Rankings – Eric Nilson is a quick and shifty center who engages physically and plays an intense style of hockey. He’s fairly underdeveloped physically so there is potential for massive improvement strength wise. He hunts for pucks and relentlessly pursues his opponents until he has possession. Eric Nilson also displays moments of high-end vision and creativity, indicating that there could be middle six center upside.—



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2021-22RegularU16 Div.1Järfälla HC U162615142928
2022-23RegularJ18 Div.1Järfälla HC U1891171829
2022-23RegularTV-PuckenStockholm Nord875122
2022-23RegularJ20 Div.1Järfälla HC U2035276
2022-23RegularU16 RegionÖrebro HK U16999186
2022-23RegularJ18 NationellÖrebro HK U1811371028
2022-23RegularU16 SMÖrebro HK U1610000
2022-23PlayoffsJ18 NationellÖrebro HK J18411212
2022-23PlayoffsJ18 NationellÖrebro HK U18411212
2023-24RegularJ18 RegionÖrebro HK U18127162310
2023-24RegularJ20 NationellÖrebro HK U20296915-214
2023-24RegularWHC-17Sweden U1771122
2023-24RegularJ18 NationellÖrebro HK U181510162698
2023-24PlayoffsJ20 NationellÖrebro HK U20801114
2023-24PlayoffsJ20 NationellÖrebro HK J20801114
2023-24PlayoffsJ18 NationellÖrebro HK J1874913429
2023-24PlayoffsJ18 NationellÖrebro HK U1874913429
2024-25RegularHlinka Gretzky CupSweden U1853142
2024-25RegularJ20 NationellDjurgårdens IF U20371226382256
2024-25RegularHockeyAllsvenskanDjurgårdens IF401110
2024-25RegularWJAC-19Sweden U1852468
2024-25RegularJ18 RegionDjurgårdens IF U18222412
2024-25RegularJ18 NationellDjurgårdens IF U18634762
2024-25RegularWJC-18Sweden U187235512
2024-25PlayoffsJ20 NationellDjurgårdens IF U209671376
2024-25PlayoffsJ18 NationellDjurgårdens IF U1885121778
2024-25PlayoffsJ18 NationellDjurgårdens IF U1885121778
2025-26RegularNCAAMichigan State Univ.353811641