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Colorado Avalanche
JustinKipkie
DÂge: 21191 CM88 KGCAN CAN
41PNHLe
Justin Kipkie
NHLRepêchage NHL2025, MIN (141st overall)5th round, 13th pick
THLRepêchage THL2025, COL (149th overall)5th round, 21st pick

Potentiel projeté

Bio

Offensive defenseman with a booming shot. Play in his own zone needs improvement.

PNHLe

Potentiel projeté: 41 · Potentiel 2e ligne2025-26 · NCAA · Arizona State Univ.

Qu’est-ce que le PNHLe?

Le PNHLe est une statistique offensive utilisée pour projeter le potentiel de points d’un joueur au niveau NHL. Il vise à standardiser plusieurs ligues afin de pouvoir comparer des espoirs d’une ligue à l’autre.

Le PNHLe tente d’égaliser les ligues, l’âge et les positions pour que le potentiel offensif d’un espoir puisse être facilement comparé aux autres, tout en projetant le potentiel de points NHL dans les années de pointe d’un joueur.

Le problème avec le NHLe

Le principe du NHLe est certainement une bonne idée. Si un joueur passe directement d’une ligue à la NHL, des valeurs historiques devraient indiquer combien de points ce joueur projetterait sur une saison NHL complète. Cependant, le NHLe ne tient pas compte du fait que les joueurs plus jeunes dans la même ligue sont toujours fortement désavantagés par rapport à ceux qui ont plus d’expérience et sont physiquement plus matures. Le NHLe ne regarde que le présent pour prédire l’équivalence de points d’une ligue au niveau NHL.

Certitude NHL
5.0
50% probabilité
Probabilité de devenir un joueur NHL à temps plein (10,0 = 100 %). La grille du repêchage est un point de départ.
Potentiel
6.0
 
Potentiel offensif maximal (saison de pointe). Attaquants : 8,0 ≈ 80 points. Les échelles diffèrent pour les défenseurs et gardiens.

Fil de dépistage

Kipkie re-entered the NHL Draft and was selected 141st overall by the Minnesota Wild after not receiving an entry-level contract from the Utah Mammoth. Kipkie was the captain of the Victoria Royals in the Western Hockey League in 2024-25, where he produced 12 goals and 50 assists in 64 regular-season games. He would have been one of the WHL’s top overage players entering the 2025-26 season with the Royals, but has decided to pursue the NCAA route and will play for Arizona State University during the 2025-26 season.

One of the top-scoring defensemen in the WHL, Kipkie looks like a possible steal, being drafted out of the fifth round of the 2023 NHL draft. Playing for the Victoria Royals, team captain Kipkie scored 12 goals and 50 assists in 64 games. A career high in assists and points, he finished fifth in scoring among WHL defenseman. It’s been impressive that his offensive production has increased, not dipped, despite an increased focus on him playing more defensively. Even though he has good size (6-3, 207 lbs), Kipkie does not play very physical, relying more on his hockey sense and stick to break up plays. Utah has been pleased to see him put more effort into going back harder on retrieval and being more engaged in battles. While play in his zone is still a work in progress, offense has not been a problem for Kipkie. Primarily a shooter, he loads up for one-timers with his booming shot from the point. Always engaged in the neutral zone, Victoria has relied on him to run their power play the past two years. This season, he’s regularly averaged 27-28 minutes per game.

Kipkie is one of six players Victoria lost this offseason to the NCAA who were eligible to play for them during the 2025-26 season, two of whom committed to the University of North Dakota: 2026 draft-eligible defenseman Keaton Verhoeff and a 2025 first-round pick (18th overall) by the Calgary Flames forward Cole Reschny. The other three were San Jose Sharks 2024 fifth-round pick (143rd overall), Nate Misskey, who will play at UMass Lowell; Teydon Trembecky, who is headed to Michigan Tech; and Johnny Hicks, who will attend the University of Denver.

Kipkie is a name to watch in the NCAA and track his development. Choosing the NCAA over a final year in the WHL will challenge him against bigger, stronger, and more experienced players. If he can continue to produce offensively at the NCAA level, when he is ready to turn pro, he could help him become a fantasy asset in the future.



Stats de carrière
SaisonTypeLigueÉquipeGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2016-17RegularWSI U12West Coast Selects U1290110
2018-19RegularAMBHLCalgary Flames U15 AAA290554
2019-20RegularCSSHL U15Calgary Edge School U15 Prep308172516
2019-20PlayoffsCSSHL U15Calgary Edge School U15 Prep11010
2020-21RegularCSSHL U16Calgary Edge School U16 Prep52026
2021-22RegularCSSHL U18Calgary Edge School U18 Prep329202920
2021-22RegularWHLVictoria Royals8000-42
2021-22PlayoffsCSSHL U18Calgary Edge School U18 Prep52134
2022-23RegularWHLVictoria Royals6782533-2657
2023-24RegularWHLVictoria Royals67163652-935
2023-24PlayoffsWHLVictoria Royals415600
2024-25RegularWHLVictoria Royals641250621846
2024-25PlayoffsWHLVictoria Royals1121113-18
2025-26RegularNCAAArizona State Univ.354913-1016