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Buffalo Sabres
TynanLawrence
CÂge: 18185 CM84 KGCAN CAN
68PNHLe
Tynan Lawrence
NHLRepêchage NHL2026, STL (11th overall)1st round, 11th pick
THLRepêchage THL2026, BUF (11th overall)1st round, 11th pick

Potentiel projeté

Bio

A skilled, relentless centre who can do it all.

PNHLe

Potentiel projeté: 68 · Potentiel 1re ligne2025-26 · USHL NCAA · Muskegon Lumberjacks Boston Univ.

Qu’est-ce que le PNHLe?

Le PNHLe est une statistique offensive utilisée pour projeter le potentiel de points d’un joueur au niveau NHL. Il vise à standardiser plusieurs ligues afin de pouvoir comparer des espoirs d’une ligue à l’autre.

Le PNHLe tente d’égaliser les ligues, l’âge et les positions pour que le potentiel offensif d’un espoir puisse être facilement comparé aux autres, tout en projetant le potentiel de points NHL dans les années de pointe d’un joueur.

Le problème avec le NHLe

Le principe du NHLe est certainement une bonne idée. Si un joueur passe directement d’une ligue à la NHL, des valeurs historiques devraient indiquer combien de points ce joueur projetterait sur une saison NHL complète. Cependant, le NHLe ne tient pas compte du fait que les joueurs plus jeunes dans la même ligue sont toujours fortement désavantagés par rapport à ceux qui ont plus d’expérience et sont physiquement plus matures. Le NHLe ne regarde que le présent pour prédire l’équivalence de points d’une ligue au niveau NHL.

Certitude NHL
9.0
90% probabilité
Probabilité de devenir un joueur NHL à temps plein (10,0 = 100 %). La grille du repêchage est un point de départ.
Potentiel
8.5
 
Potentiel offensif maximal (saison de pointe). Attaquants : 8,0 ≈ 80 points. Les échelles diffèrent pour les défenseurs et gardiens.

Fil de dépistage

A year that began with Lawrence in the first-overall conversation ended with St. Louis taking him 11th, the cost of a midseason jump from the USHL to Boston University that flattened his offense. He had 17 points in 13 USHL games with Muskegon, then managed two goals and five assists in 18 games after the move to BU, on a Terriers team that missed the NCAA Tournament. The box score undersells him.

While Lawrence didn’t have the most productive Hlinka, the tournament did confirm in other areas his utility and value across the board. Lawrence’s all-around play showed many of the same qualities that earned him playoff MVP honors as a USHL rookie.

Lawrence is an elite, effortless skater who lives in transition, breaking up odd-man rushes one shift and igniting them the next, covering all 200 feet with constant off-puck positioning. He is a detailed two-way center with real vision and a relentless motor, reliable at five-on-five and on both special teams. The hands are the question: he is not a natural dangler and leans on smart reads and clever passes rather than beating defenders one-on-one. Byron Bader’s model comped him to Matt Boldy, who also went 12th, and his fantasy value will track his playmaking and transition scoring once he settles in at BU as a sophomore. June 2026 – Lawrence was selected at #11 overall to the Blues. The team continues to load up at every position. Pat Quinn

Preliminary Rankings-Tynan Lawrence is the next in line of a US Region that looks scarier by the day. The first thing that jumps out about Lawrence is definitely his smooth, effortless skating. He’s constantly in motion, covering ice in both ends with excellent off-puck movement and positioning. Lawrence also uses his speed as a dual threat, tracking back and killing odd man rushes defensively, while also jumping into the rush offensively.

This speed makes Lawrence a transition demon: he was a zone entry and exit machine for Muskegon last year, moving the puck through the neutral zone with pace and efficiency. He avoids forcing plays and instead opts for controlled, reliable decisions, though I would like to see him experiment more and be more daring in attacking defenders 1-on-1. He’s admittedly not the most dynamic puckhandler. Instead, he relies on intelligent reads, recognizing when to attack open space and executing clever passes under pressure, using an array of soft chips, aerial feeds, and smart banks off the boards. He also owns a compact, accurate shot that he can fit through traffic.

Defensively, Lawrence shows high-end instincts, particularly with timely stick checks that lead to rushes the other way. I would like to see more urgency and commitment however; he can appear passive at times defensively, especially on the penalty kill, and could be more consistently competitive in board battles. Overall, Lawrence’s total package of speed, hockey sense, and north-south transition ability makes him one of the premier potential playdrivers in this draft class.-

Lawrence is at his best when he’s right up in your grill. Whether he’s putting defenders on their heels with his puck carrying, or harassing the opponents on the forecheck, Lawrence doesn’t give you any space to breathe.

Lawrence will be returning to the USHL to captain Muskegon this season.



Stats de carrière
SaisonTypeLigueÉquipeGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2017-18RegularBrick InvitationalBoston Jr. Bruins60220
2020-21RegularNBU15AAAHLFredericton Blues U15 AAA1740410
2020-21PlayoffsNBU15AAAHLFredericton Blues U15 AAA30000
2021-22RegularNBU15AAAHLFredericton Blues U15 AAA272734618
2022-23Regular14U AAAShattuck St. Mary's 14U AAA563756934
2022-23RegularNAPHL 14UShattuck St. Mary's 14U AAA34260
2022-23RegularJohn Reid MemorialShattuck St. Mary's 14U AAA647112
2022-23RegularWSI U15Pro Hockey Selects U1573360
2022-23RegularUS 14U NationalsShattuck St. Mary's 14U AAA43690
2023-24Regular16U AAAShattuck St. Mary's 16U AAA502227494
2023-24RegularYOGCanada U16422422
2023-24RegularUS 16U NationalsShattuck St. Mary's 16U AAA43030
2024-25RegularUSHLMuskegon Lumberjacks562529542349
2024-25PlayoffsUSHLMuskegon Lumberjacks1481018112
2025-26RegularNCAABoston Univ.18257-12
2025-26RegularHlinka Gretzky CupCanada U18512326
2025-26RegularUSHLMuskegon Lumberjacks131071756