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Buffalo Sabres
StepanGorbunov
CAge: 19196 CM89 KGRUS RUS
14PNHLe
Stepan Gorbunov
NHLNHL Draft2024, FLA (169th overall)6th round, 8th pick
THLTHL Draft2024, BUF (192nd overall)6th round, 32nd pick

Projected potential

Bio

An imposing skater that can play both forward and defense, Gorbunov skates well for his size, and as he continues to refine his game, could be an excellent bottom-six piece who can add points and penalty minutes.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 142025-26 · KHL · Traktor Chelyabinsk

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
4.0
40% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
6.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

After getting drafted in the sixth round, the expectation was for Gorbunov to play in the MHL this year. However, the huling 6-5 forward shattered all expectations and played at the VHL level for almost the entire season. There, he scored at an incredible rate for an 18-year-old with 11 goals and 25 points in 48 games versus men. Gorbunov was second in scoring among his age group in the VHL and proved to be one of the more valuable assets on his team. With incredible hands, Gorbunov plays akin to Tage Thompson, minus the barn-burning shot, and projects as a playmaker at the NHL level. With his size, the puck protection skills are a massive plus. Expect another year where Gorbunov builds on his prior season, either near or above a point-per-game pace in the VHL or at the KHL level.

Heading into this year, the expectation for Gorbunov would be for him to stay in the MHL and be one of the best players on his team. Gorbunov proved that he was ready for a larger challenge as he has spent the majority of the year in the VHL and has been one of the better players on his team. Standing at six-foot-five, Gorbunov has a frame that could fit in any NHL lineup. However, he needs to learn how to use his body better as he is still not bringing the physicality needed for the NHL. Despite this, he is quite skilled and generates offense off the rush, a major part of the modern NHL. The runway for Gorbunov is longer than any other prospect in the Panthers’ system and it could allow him to develop into a great KHL scorer before coming over to North America. He is a long-term project but the early returns are quite exciting all things considered. mes Connelly

Gorbunov started his season off hot in the MHL, with Belye Medvedi Chelyabinsk playing over 20 minutes a night in the first six games. His play earned him his first professional call-up playing in the VHL. While held scoreless, Gorbunov got his first taste of higher competition. It did something because he scored four goals and eight points in two games when he was sent to the MHL. He dominated puck possession in these games and displayed a high-end puck protection ability. Gorbunov stayed hot when he was back in the VHL, going on a six-game point streak against professional competition and scoring seven points in his last seven VHL games. The offense is starting to come together for Gorbunov, and he will become an integral member of his club’s KHL team one day. He looks much more confident and is making the right strides. If Gorbunov can stay hot, he may earn an NHL contract next summer when his contract in Russia expires.

Gorbunov’s draft year numbers may look subpar, but there is more to the story than just what they show. Standing at 6-5, Gorbunov has an NHL frame and is one of the youngest players from the 2024 draft class, less than a week away from being eligible for the 2025 draft. He split time between being a forward and defenseman and being an all-around utility player for Belye Medvedi Chelyabinsk. He skates decently for his size and will need to make that a strong point in his game if he wants to stick at the highest level, but with such a raw player, there is loads of intrigue about what is to come for him.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2021-22RegularRussia U16Traktor Chelyabinsk U16362735624220
2021-22RegularRussia U17Traktor Chelyabinsk U17302220
2022-23RegularRussia U17Traktor Chelyabinsk U17351928472645
2023-24RegularMHLBelye Medvedi Chelyabinsk40101222610
2023-24RegularRussia U18Traktor Chelyabinsk U182101-22
2023-24PlayoffsMHLBelye Medvedi Chelyabinsk10213-16
2024-25RegularMHLBelye Medvedi Chelyabinsk9671364
2024-25RegularVHLChelmet Chelyabinsk48111425722
2024-25PlayoffsMHLBelye Medvedi Chelyabinsk4011-42
2024-25PlayoffsVHLChelmet Chelyabinsk6011-34
2025-26RegularVHLChelmet Chelyabinsk2281119214
2025-26RegularKHLTraktor Chelyabinsk2920204
2025-26RegularMHLBelye Medvedi Chelyabinsk403310
2025-26PlayoffsVHLChelmet Chelyabinsk2000-30
2025-26PlayoffsKHLTraktor Chelyabinsk100002
2025-26PlayoffsMHLBelye Medvedi Chelyabinsk2000-10