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Winnipeg Jets
EthanHay
CAge: 21185 CM88 KGCAN CAN
41PNHLe
Ethan Hay
NHLNHL Draft2023, TBL (211th overall)7th round, 19th pick
THLTHL Draft2023, WIN (204th overall)7th round, 12th pick

Projected potential

Bio

A potential bottom-six defensive center with limited offensive upside.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 41 · 2nd Line Potential2025-26 · NCAA · Miami Univ. (Ohio)

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
3.0
30% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
3.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Hay committed to the Miami University (Ohio) RedHawks for the 2025-26 season. His status with the Tampa Bay Lightning is pending a league and NHLPA resolution on player expiry rights that commit to the NCAA after their junior careers.

The Tampa Bay Lightning drafted Hay in the seventh round (211th overall) in the 2023 NHL Entry Draft.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2019-20RegularALLIANCE U15Waterloo Wolves U15 AAA3110192960
2021-22RegularOHLFlint Firebirds5981119-378
2021-22PlayoffsOHLFlint Firebirds19112-316
2022-23RegularOHLFlint Firebirds64171128-1161
2022-23PlayoffsOHLFlint Firebirds7156-46
2023-24RegularOHLFlint Firebirds9213-76
2023-24RegularOHLSaginaw Spirit58101121862
2023-24RegularMemorial CupSaginaw Spirit522452
2023-24PlayoffsOHLSaginaw Spirit17011-216
2024-25RegularOHLSaginaw Spirit328513-1955
2024-25RegularOHLKingston Frontenacs30513181241
2024-25PlayoffsOHLKingston Frontenacs11055224
2025-26RegularNCAAMiami Univ. (Ohio)3541216334