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Calgary Flames
MatthewPerkins
CAge: 22180 CM71 KGCAN CAN
21PNHLe
Matthew Perkins
NHLNHL Draft2023, VAN (119th overall)4th round, 23rd pick
THLTHL Draft2023, CAL (162nd overall)6th round, 2nd pick

Projected potential

Bio

Intelligent two-way pivot, who can play on the wing.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 212025-26 · NCAA · Northeastern Univ.

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
4.0
40% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
5.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Perkins’ sophomore NCAA season was a quiet affair, with him posting a goal and four assists across 29 games. Part of the reason for the minimal production could be the minimal deployment he saw, especially at the end of the season.

Perkins’ production in his second year at the University of Minnesota-Duluth has fallen off. After 15 points in 35 games a year ago, Perkins has just four points, all assists, in 21 games. He remains unsigned and will likely be at the NCAA level for the remainder of his eligibility. He has some issues in his game to iron out, so the Canucks will let him find his game before deciding on his future with the organization.

In his first season in the NCAA, Perkins has encountered a lot of trouble finding consistency in his game. This is not surprising for a first-year player, but it’s an aspect he will need to work on to progress to the next level. Despite these challenges, Perkins is still young, and he has plenty of time before becoming a concern for the Canucks. C

Despite a lacklustre point production and low draft rankings, the Vancouver Canucks took a gamble on Perkins in the fourth round (119) due to his intelligence and strong play away from the puck. While his skating and size present challenges, his hockey IQ and versatility make him an intriguing prospect. Perkins’ ability to read the game and contribute offensively through playmaking and finding open ice, combined with his defensive awareness and penalty-killing skills, showcase his potential as a well-rounded player. However, his skating mechanics need significant improvement to fully leverage his intelligence on the ice. Joining the University of Minnesota-Duluth allows Perkins an extended development period, providing the Canucks with time to assess if his intelligence will overcome his current limitations. It remains uncertain if the Canucks could have chosen a higher-upside prospect in the fourth round, but Perkins’ coachability, drive, and potential suggest a chance for success in the future.

From January 10th onward, he saw double digit minutes of play time but once in those 13 games, with one goal and nine shots on net.

Though his contributions to his team go beyond just what shows on the scoreboard, for Perkins to rise through the ranks and see NHL time, he will need to have a bounce-back year that warrants consideration a future levels.

Given that fantasy hockey is all about- and perhaps what shows up on the scoreboard, Perkins is not worth rostering at present. Alex Wyatt



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2013-14RegularBrick InvitationalSaskatchewan Jr. Pats60004
2017-18RegularSAAHL U15Prairie Storm U15 AA31771428
2017-18PlayoffsSAAHL U15Prairie Storm U15 AA61120
2018-19RegularSAAHL U15Prairie Storm U15 AA3115183326
2018-19PlayoffsSAAHL U15Prairie Storm U15 AA526810
2019-20RegularSAAHL U18Prairie Storm U18 AA2417122928
2019-20RegularSMAAAHLMoose Jaw Warriors U18 AAA1746102
2019-20PlayoffsSMAAAHLMoose Jaw Warriors U18 AAA60114
2020-21RegularSMAAAHLMoose Jaw Warriors U18 AAA61562
2021-22RegularSJHLHumboldt Broncos5723365934
2021-22PlayoffsSJHLHumboldt Broncos1113430
2022-23RegularUSHLYoungstown Phantoms601529441377
2022-23PlayoffsUSHLYoungstown Phantoms911236
2023-24RegularNCAAUniv. of Minnesota-Duluth356915-1212
2024-25RegularNCAAUniv. of Minnesota-Duluth29145-714
2025-26RegularNCAANortheastern Univ.29437410