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Philadelphia Flyers
TarinSmith
DAge: 20185 CM86 KGCAN CAN
79PNHLe
Tarin Smith
NHLNHL Draft2024, ANA (79th overall)3rd round, 14th pick
THLTHL Draft2024, PHI (87th overall)3rd round, 23rd pick

Projected potential

Bio

Intelligent two-way defenceman with a budding offensive game. Improvements in his skating could see him become a reliable second-pairing blue-liner.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 79 · 1st Line Potential2025-26 · WHL · Everett Silvertips

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
7.0
70% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
7.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Tarin Smith has quietly had himself an incredible season. His 16 goals and 55 assists for 71 points in 65 WHL games, placing him 11th, 3rd and 7th in those offensive categories by defensemen.

Smith has emerged as the biggest riser from the Ducks’ 2024 draft class. He has improved in several areas that were concerns entering the draft and hasn’t sacrificed a single step of his offensive game. Smith now handles pressure with significantly more poise, regularly making smart decisions under stress. He has also added a physical element to his game, ensuring he finishes his checks and makes his presence felt. Smith’s defensive play has taken a noticeable step forward, and he is now a great defender at the WHL level. His lateral movement remains his most notable weakness in the defensive zone, but it is no longer a liability; it is simply an area that still needs improvement. He continues to be excellent with the puck on his stick. Smith’s combination of fakes, quick hands, and edge work allows him to manipulate defenders and create space from the blue line. He is a consistent offensive generator. Smith remains a long-term project, especially given the Ducks’ depth on the blue line. He will face an uphill battle to break into the NHL roster in the next few seasons due to the players he has to beat for the spots. Fantasy managers, particularly those in points leagues, should continue to monitor him closely. He offers an intriguing upside if his current development trajectory continues.

Smith was selected 79th overall by the Anaheim Ducks.

Smith has mostly gone under the radar, but a closer look at his game paints a different picture — one not fully encompassed by his 35 points in 52 WHL games with Everett.

Beyond the offensive performance, his emerging multi-cat game is coming to the forefront. His 143 blocks (9th in the WHL), 253 shots (8th best by a defenseman), 62.70% puck battle winning percentage (5th overall) and 60.3 net Xg (3rd overall) show a developing toolkit beyond the offense that raises his floor at higher levels.

Smith captained the Everett Silvertips to the WHL championship, and will take his talents to the University of Minnesota in the NCAA next season, and should be an acquisition target for you all summer long in your leagues.

April 2024 Tarin Smith is an offensive defenseman who is dynamic with the puck and creates off the rush using his feet and creative puckhandling to slip through defenders in highlight-reel fashion. He’s an intelligent passer but loves to take a volume of shots from the point. His defensive game is solid, though he’s prone to gaffes. Smith can work his way into an NHL lineup as long as he remains committed to defence, works on his lateral movement, and continues to find offense as a weak-side activator. Luke Sweeney

An incredibly intelligent defenceman, Smith supports play with area passes, constant scanning and timely offensive activation. His hands are surprisingly good, as he can dangle forwards from the blue line or even score goals when he gets a lane to the slot. Defensively, Smith identifies his checks and sticks to them like glue, and has gotten much better at boxing out the slot. His skating holds him back considerably in both directions, but if he can improve his edgework and weight transfers, there’s a clear path to a second-pairing, second power play role for Smith.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2015-16RegularBrick InvitationalSaskatchewan Jr. Pats63142
2015-16PlayoffsBrick InvitationalSaskatchewan Jr. Pats10000
2019-20RegularSAAHL U15North East Wolfpack U15 AA315162156
2019-20PlayoffsSAAHL U15North East Wolfpack U15 AA21122
2020-21RegularSAAHL U15North East Wolfpack U15 AA30226
2021-22RegularSMAAAHLSaskatoon Blazers U18 AAA436283466
2021-22RegularWHL CupTeam Saskatchewan503312
2021-22RegularWHLEverett Silvertips300016
2021-22PlayoffsSMAAAHLSaskatoon Blazers U18 AAA722410
2021-22PlayoffsWHLEverett Silvertips100000
2022-23RegularWHLEverett Silvertips8101-32
2022-23RegularWHC-17Canada Red U1771124
2023-24RegularWHLEverett Silvertips67836442666
2023-24PlayoffsWHLEverett Silvertips8145510
2024-25RegularWHLEverett Silvertips651644603550
2024-25PlayoffsWHLEverett Silvertips1341216112
2025-26RegularWHLEverett Silvertips651655716598
2025-26PlayoffsWHLEverett Silvertips402264