Please rotate your device to landscape mode for a better experience.
PACIFIC
CENTRAL
METROPOLITAN
ATLANTIC
Login

Pittsburgh Penguins
CharlieCerrato
CAge: 21183 CM86 KGUSA USA
90PNHLe
Charlie Cerrato
NHLNHL Draft2025, CAR (49th overall)2nd round, 17th pick
THLTHL Draft2025, MON (71st overall)3rd round, 7th pick

Projected potential

Bio

A two-way centre with a decent developing offensive side.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 90 · Superstar Potential2025-26 · NCAA · Penn State Univ.

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
6.0
60% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
5.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Cerrato signed a three-year entry-level contract with the Carolina Hurricanes in May 2026. His deal carries an average annual value (AAV) of $915K and runs through the 2028-29 season.

Cerrato has had a quietly impressive sophomore season at Penn State, posting seven goals and 27 points in 22 games – a meaningful step forward for a twice-undrafted 20-year-old overager who has taken longer than most to find his footing. The hot start he enjoyed early in the year has leveled off as expected, but the underlying production remains solid. A smart two-way center who projects as a bottom-six NHL piece, he is the kind of late-blooming player that Carolina’s development program tends to identify and nurture well. The path is long and the odds remain against him, but he is giving the organization legitimate reasons to maintain interest. A deep dynasty watchlist name rather than a priority add.

Cerrato has started off his sophomore NCAA season as a man possessed. He has scored four times and added 11 assists in just 6 games. He is by no means going to continue this pace for the entire season- which would see him score 24 goals and 66 assists for 90 points in 36 games- but this early tear has boosted his stock value considerably. If Cerrato is on the wire in your league, snap him up immediately, and watch to see how he goes.

Cerrato heard his name called by the Carolina Hurricanes with their 49th selection. Cerrato was a two-time draft reentry, so certainly being chosen comes with some relief for the young man. He has developed some offense that wasn’t as apparent in his previous drafts. Despite seeing a 12 goal, 38 assists and 71 penalty minute season in the USHL in his first reentry year, he followed it up in 2024-2025 with a 15 goal, 27 assist and 58 penalty minute campaign as an NCAA rookie.

As a 20 year old, two times undrafted NCAA overager, one would expect him to be able to outperform younger and less experienced peers, but Cerrato could be showing us he could be an exception who took longer to blossom than usual. He’s still a long shot, but he’s giving fantasy managers reason to take notice.

He might be a nice piece of trade bait in a league where you are leveraging your farm for rental pieces on your pro roster. If you’re in that mode, sell before the cooldown comes.

He is a little older than most players would be at this stage of their draft and development arc, so managers will need to see if these increases are coming too late, but he makes for a good story, and is well worth watching as he continues his collegiate career.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2017-18RegularQC Int PWPhiladelphia Jr. Flyers20110
2020-21RegularHPHL 15UHoneybaked 15U AAA52132
2021-22RegularNTDPU.S. National U17 Team33591428
2021-22RegularUSHLUSNTDP Juniors264913-526
2022-23RegularNTDPU.S. National U18 Team3731518514
2022-23RegularUSHLUSNTDP Juniors28511161222
2022-23RegularNTDPU.S. National U17 Team18671316
2022-23PlayoffsUSHLUSNTDP Juniors3112-22
2023-24RegularUSHLYoungstown Phantoms45123850371
2023-24RegularWJAC-19USA U1960112
2023-24PlayoffsUSHLYoungstown Phantoms713402
2024-25RegularNCAAPenn State Univ.381527421658
2025-26RegularNCAAPenn State Univ.2372027320
2025-26RegularSpengler CupU.S. Collegiate Selects4112-12
2025-26PlayoffsAHLChicago Wolves100000