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Philadelphia Flyers
MalteGustafsson
DAge: 18193 CM91 KGSWE SWE
54PNHLe
Malte Gustafsson
NHLNHL Draft2026, NYI (13th overall)1st round, 13th pick
THLTHL Draft2026, PHI (13th overall)1st round, 13th pick

Projected potential

Bio

Big, strong, mobile defenseman who can shut down opposing players effectively.

PNHLe

Projected potential: 54 · 2nd Line Potential2025-26 · J20-Nationell SHL · HV71 U20 HV71

What is PNHLe?

PNHLe is an offensive stat that is used to project a player’s point potential at the NHL level and is meant to standardize a variety of leagues so that prospects can be compared from one league with another.

PNHLe attempts to equalize all leagues, age and positions so that the offensive potential of a prospect can easily be compared with others, while also projecting future NHL point potential in the prime years of a player.

The problem with NHLe

The premise of the NHLe stat is certainly a great idea. If a player jumps directly from one league to the NHL there should be some precedent set by historical values that would indicate how many points that player should project to having in a full NHL season. However, it always bothered me that NHLe never took into account that younger players in the same league would always have a massive disadvantage compared to those that have more experience and are physically more mature in the same league. NHLe only looks at the present to predict how many points in one league are equated at the NHL level.

NHL Certainty
6.5
65% odds
Odds of becoming a full-time NHL player (10.0 = 100%). Draft guideline is a starting point and should rise as the prospect proves himself.
Upside
5.0
 
Best-case offensive upside (peak season points potential). Forwards: 8.0 ≈ 80 points. Defense and goalie scales differ.

Scouting Feed

Gustafsson was the defenseman the public kept overlooking and NHL teams kept slotting inside the top 20, and the Islanders took him 13th, with Matthew Schaefer announcing the pick that could one day sit beside him. He is a 6-4 left shot with a pro-ready frame and, more important, real mobility for his size. The defensive game is what sells: tight gap control, sharp reads in the neutral zone, and a habit of riding forwards into the boards and erasing them, the kind of size-and-skating combination that translates straight to the NHL. He spent most of his draft year as an SHL regular for a thin HV71 team, which held his offense to three assists in 27 games, then added 12 points in 19 J20 games and capped the season as the best defenseman on Sweden’s gold-medal Under-18 team. The shot lacks power for now, partly a function of a very long stick, so the offense is a projection rather than a present skill.

Gustafsson was drafted 13th overall by the New York Islanders as the team looks to make it impossible to score on them in three to five years.

He signed a one-year extension with HV71, so he develops in Sweden next season, and his fantasy relevance hinges entirely on whether the point production arrives.



Career Stats
SeasonTypeLeagueTeamGPGAP+/-PIMPPGSHGSOG
2021-22RegularU16 Div.1Tingsryds AIF U1662022
2022-23RegularU16 Div.1Tingsryds AIF U161811182916
2022-23RegularJ18 Div.2Tingsryds AIF J18 21458136
2023-24RegularU16 RegionHV71 U16164131735
2023-24RegularTV-PuckenSmåland81344
2023-24RegularJ18 RegionHV71 J1810134104
2023-24RegularJ18 NationellHV71 J1813033-810
2023-24PlayoffsU16 RegionHV71 U1621010
2023-24PlayoffsJ18 NationellHV71 J18400020
2024-25RegularJ18 RegionHV71 J18823510
2024-25RegularJ20 NationellHV71 J2036268-628
2024-25RegularWHC-17Sweden U1741126
2024-25RegularJ18 NationellHV71 J18302212
2024-25PlayoffsJ20 NationellHV71 J20100000
2024-25PlayoffsJ18 NationellHV71 J181112-20
2025-26RegularU20 NationellHV71 U20194812-1816
2025-26RegularHlinka Gretzky CupSweden U18524638
2025-26RegularU18 RegionHV71 U1830332
2025-26RegularSHLHV7127033-84
2025-26RegularWJAC-19Sweden U1830004
2025-26RegularSvenska Cupen U20HV71 U20100010
2025-26PlayoffsU20 NationellHV71 U203202327
2025-26PlayoffsSHLHV714000-12